Sir, I recall that last year when I spoke of how bad the economy was, I was accused no less than by the then Minster for Trade and Industry and by the Minister of State that I was perhaps over-exaggerating the problems, and there were stout defences from the Government side as to how well in fact the various sectors of the economy were doing. I feel that if only the Government had listened a bit earlier to calls from Backbenchers on this side of the House, in particular the Member for Rochore when he lamented the high cost of business, particularly the high contributions to the CPF that employers have to make, or if the Government had listened to my friend, the Member for Whampoa when he warned on many occasions how we were overheating the construction sector, and how this was in fact distorting our growth figures, I think perhaps some of the damage might have been limited. Sir, that was in March last year and at least I am glad to say that within three months, the Government's stand took an about-turn and it was then singing a different tune, and it started to set up the Economic Committee which has worked very hard to review everything, all and sundry, to see what can be done to set matters right. I am not here to point out to the Government to say, "I told you so." But what I want to say is that while it is correct to defend your policies, one must be receptive all the time and to try to hear the other side before things get worse. But before the two Opposition Members get too excited over what I am saying, perhaps I should now point out to this House the difference between what they are trying to say and what we the PAP Backbenchers are pointing out. Sir, I am very much against the accusations which have been made yesterday by the Member for Anson when he said that the economy has been mismanaged. Sir, I take a very strong exception to the word "mismanagement". It is always easy to point a finger with the benefit of hindsight. Let us be honest with ourselves. Most of the policies have served us well in the past when conditions were different. I am one of those who have said so on many occasions that if policies have become outdated, or they no longer serve us well because conditions are now different, then we should review and make the changes when necessary. And that is what the Government has done in setting up the Economic Committee, and I believe this Government will constantly do that, ie, review policies, for that is the hallmark of any dynamic and capable government. But to say that the Government has mismanaged the economy for so many years is an untruth. It shows the Opposition Members to be the opportunists that they are. Let me ask them. Is it mismanagement of our economy that has brought about homes for Singaporeans? Is it mismanagement that has given us the highest standard of living in Asia outside Japan? And even, Sir, if we do not reach the Swiss standard of living so fast and I am sure like most others, we are all prepared to wait till 1999 for that I am proud that in Singapore we already enjoy a per capita income level that is higher than most developing nations and, in fact, higher than a lot of developed nations. What is most important, Sir, and this nails down the lie that the economy has been mismanaged, is that even if we have suffered negative growth of 1.7% last year, our country remains debt free. I think this point has been missed by a lot of people here. It is to our pride that, unlike the plight of many other countries in the world, we can sit here today to decide the measures to take to get out of this recession. We are not in debt to others, and we do not have banks or the IMF to tell us what we can or cannot do to get out of the recession. We decide our own destiny. Nobody tells us what kind of austere conditions we must impose on our people if loans are to be fed to us to prop us up. We are not in that kind of a situation. Let me just give Members an example. Sir, Brazil's economy grew by 7% last year, but Brazil has to pay US$10 billion a year to the foreign banks just to service its loans. We are thankful, Sir, that we are not in that kind of a situation. Sir, I would now like to turn to the Report of the Economic Committee. A lot of emphasis and publicity have been given to the Report. But I would like to sound a word of caution, ie, a lot of false expectations have been raised. Many people outside feel that everything would be all right after this Report is implemented. I would like to caution that this is not the case. Even when the Report is accepted by the Government and the recommendations are implemented, the fundamental problems that confront us still remain. We have excess capacities all over Singapore, excess capacity in ship-repairing and ship-building which form 25% of our manufacturing sector. We have excess capacity in the oil refining industries. We have excess office space, shop space, factory space, residential space, and we have excess hotel rooms. Then, of course, as other Members have pointed out, there is the slowdown in international trade aggravated by continued increase in protectionism. Regional instability is again another factor which has been brought up. And perhaps what is also a danger to the world economy is the drop in the price of crude oil. While this may bring a lot of joy to motorists, let us not forget that a drop in the price of crude oil will bring a lot of problems to many countries which depend on oil for revenue. And there are a lot of banks which have made a lot of loans to oil-producing countries. Sir, I would now like to move to specific matters raised in this Report. First of all, the taxation policy. I welcome the proposal to reduce corporate tax. Firstly, because it would ease the cash flow of many companies, especially at a time when everybody is tight of cash. Secondly, the reduction in corporate tax means that there would be more money in the profits for companies to reinvest. But what I am against is the recommendation in the Report to introduce indirect taxes to compensate for the loss in revenues. The Report states that consumption taxes or indirect taxes would economically be preferable to income taxes. Sir, I feel that nothing could be further from the truth. Indirect taxes in the form of sales tax or value added tax, or whatever tax the Government may think of implementing, have many disadvantages. Firstly, by using indirect taxes to compensate for the loss of revenue when corporate tax is reduced is like taking from one hand what is given it back to the other. Secondly, Sir, indirect taxes and sales taxes force up prices and are, in fact, inflationary. It adds to the prices of goods, which means people will then in turn demand more wages and this will feed inflation. Next, indirect taxes penalize the lower-income groups who tend to spend a greater portion of their income on the taxes to buy goods including necessities. Therefore, indirect tax is not as equitable as personal income tax. Fourthly, Sir, I need not mention the adverse effects sales tax is likely to have on the retail trade and on tourism. One can argue, as has been suggested yesterday, that the indirect tax could be imposed selectively. In other words, perhaps to impose it on certain things which are not necessities, or not to impose taxes on items which are bought by tourists, or perhaps not to impose tax on hotel charges, etc. But selective imposition of indirect tax can only open up a can of worms. How and who is to decide what are the exemptions? So I am very much against this idea of imposing an indirect tax. The reduction in the corporate tax, personal income tax and the 30% across-the-board investment allowance will mean a loss of revenue of $1.2 billion to the Government. How to make up for this shortfall then, if indirect tax is not the answer? Sir, I was reading an article just the other day regarding the surpluses made by our statutory boards. This topic unfortunately did not receive much attention by the Economic Committee. But I would like to point out to the House that the top 10 statutory boards in Singapore earned $2.5 billion last year. It was a bit more in 1984 when these 10 statutory boards made $2.65 billion. To give you all an idea of how big this surplus is, the top 10 companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Singapore, which includes Singapore Airlines and the big banks, only made a total of $1.1 billion. But the 10 statutory boards made $2(r) billion! So you can see for yourself, Sir, that the amount accumulated by these money-gobbling monsters is certainly mind boggling. Why can the Government not take this big fat surplus that the statutory boards have earned, besides setting aside what is necessary for the statutory boards for their operations, for their development, transfer what is left to the Consolidated Fund? I feel that if only half of the surpluses made by the statutory boards, and that is only the top 10 statutory boards, there are 30 of them, is transferred annually to the Government, it would more than make up for the revenue shortfall when the corporate and personal taxes are reduced. Sir, I think Government must now make a stand on this matter. As the Member for Siglap has said, some statutory boards now even see the accumulation of surpluses as their objective rather than the provision of services which they were set up to do. Some statutory boards have very ingenious ways of covering up their surpluses. They call it by various names, capital accounts, capital reserves. In fact, one statutory board even transfers almost all its surpluses into a development account, whether it does any development or not. Sir, the question of surpluses of statutory boards also reminded me of the Skills Development Fund. It was very timely, I suppose, that the Annual Report of the SDF was released yesterday and it all came out in the newspapers today. Sir, the SDF collected $108 million in 1985. That is only a bit lower than the figure of $112 million that the SDF collected in 1984 in spite of the SDF contribution having been cut by half since April last year. But what is even more amazing is the low level of grants which the SDF dishes out to companies. Last year, only $42 million in grants were given. And $42 million out of the total accumulated fund of over half a billion dollars is certainly peanuts. The interest that the SDF earns from fixed deposits of what it has accumulated over the years would be almost enough to pay for the grants that it gives out every year. Sir, I think it is time for us to consider suspending entirely SDF contributions at a time when every cent saved counts for every company. And again, Sir, it is no secret that the SDF grants, meagre as they are, go only to big companies. Small companies, because they are either too small to organize systematic training schemes or because the SDF does not attach the importance that it should give to small companies, are often left out. So what you find is a situation where small companies contribute a lot of money to the SDF but they get nothing in return. Sir, I would now like to make some comments on the construction slump which has been covered in the Report. The Report admits that the supply of property today exceeds demand. What I cannot agree with is the statement in the Report that "the market, given time, can be left to sort out by itself." I think, Sir, this is a wrong statement. In fact, it smacks of some irresponsibility because the Government contributed to this problem. I have said in this House last year, I said it the year before and I intend to repeat it again. Unfortunately, the Minister for National Development is not here. I think the Ministry of National Development is to blame for this problem. The Urban Redevelopment Authority and the Ministry must accept some blame for the problem which has been created in the property sector. Sir, when the Urban Redevelopment Authority was created in 1973, there were noble objectives of implementing a systematic programme of redevelopment of the urban area to create a new and gracious city with better environment for business, residences and for social activities. I do not dispute the fact that the URA has attained this objective, but over the years I feel that the URA has lost sight of some of the objectives. Over the years, aided by a powerful weapon, the Land Acquisition Act, the URA has turned the property market into a property casino, acquiring land at low cost and auctioneering land at very high prices. Having lost sight of the original objectives, the URA has now become the banker in the casino. Having decided to outdo what the other statutory boards are doing in collecting revenue, the URA probably saw to its advantage to continue fuelling property prices to go up. Sir, as an example, just to give an idea to Members, in the five years between 1980 and 1985, the URA made a surplus of $940 million on revenues of $1.2 billion. That is 78% surplus on revenues collected in five years; and its accumulated surplus today amounts to a whopping $1.2 billion. Sir, the property market would also not have found itself in the mess that it is in today if the URA had not been assisted by another powerful instrument in the Ministry of National Development, the imposition and collection of development charges. The exorbitant charges which have been imposed led to the high cost of construction and this, in turn, is translated into more expensive space, higher selling prices, higher rentals for shops, offices, houses, factories. Last year when I lamented on this, the Minister promised that he would reduce development charges. Of course, after much reflection, I realized that he is quite an intelligent Minister because he promised to reduce development charges in a year, when he knew that construction was practically at a standstill. So, in fact, his claim to reduce the development charge actually amounted to nothing and was really quite irrelevant to the situation. Sir, the Government therefore should not merely say that the property market can sort itself out of this situation. I think it has an obligation to put matters right. Now, how can it go about this? The URA has accumulated so much money that I think it could do well to help the developers, and to help the property market, by buying back some of the empty buildings on a willing-seller willing-buyer basis. Many developers today are facing cash flow problems. Some of them have practically no cash flow and are on the verge of bankruptcy. The banks are also in a dilemma because they now find themselves with non-performing loans. And if they move in to foreclose, the non-performing loans merely become non-performing assets of the banks. I would seriously suggest that the Government consider asking the URA to salvage the situation by taking back some of the empty space. Sir, I now move to another point raised in the Report, and this concerns the exchange rate of the Singapore dollar. There have been a lot of complaints by our businessmen, particularly exporters, lamenting that the exchange rate of the Singapore dollar has been kept very high and this makes our exports more expensive than they should be. The Report quite correctly puts it when it says that the Singapore dollar rate should be set by market forces. Sir, I think, this is a very sensible recommendation and I hope the Government accepts this. But what I hope even more so is that this recommendation is implemented. The reason I say this is that last Friday we all heard that the money market in Singapore was caught by surprise when the Monetary Authority of Singapore intervened again to prop up the Singapore dollar when it fell against the US dollar to S$2.16 and taking it to S$2.
13. Sir, this intervention by the MAS conflicts with the policy guidelines and the recommendation made by the Economic Committee. Sir, when the Economic Committee says that market forces should determine the Singapore dollar rate, it merely means that the value of the Singapore dollar should reflect fundamental economic factors. There has been a gradual erosion in the value of the Singapore dollar due to the poor economy. But by the action of the MAS last week, it appears that the MAS felt differently. As a result of this intervention by the MAS, the overnight interest rate shot up by as much as 100%. This is something which we all can ill-afford during the present economic situation. Artificially propping up the Singapore dollar is not going to help the situation. Here we are talking about how costly we have become and the Economic Committee grapples with all kinds of measures to address our economic problems, and yet we have one Government agency taking steps to nullify all our efforts. We have the Government on the verge of accepting the recommendations of the Economic Committee, and there we have officials from the MAS acting with impunity and doing something contrary to the recommendations of the Committee. Sir, I am not advocating a devaluation of the Singapore dollar. What I am merely saying is what the Economic Committee has said, let the market decide for itself what is the level at which the Singapore dollar should be valued. Here we have a classic case of the right hand not knowing what the left hand is doing. I suggest that the Government reins in the MAS officials and with the Minister for Finance now in charge of the MAS, and I think he knows and he understands the problems of businessmen well. Having been a businessman himself, I think he can put his foot down and set matters right in so far as the exchange rate is concerned. Sir, I would like now to turn to the chapter on Entrepreneurship and state my views. Sir, in spite of all the talk that has been going around that we would like to encourage our entrepreneurs, I feel that the environment in Singapore is still not conducive enough to nurture a crop of local talents, local entrepreneurs. Sir, there are two factors that confront any budding young entrepreneur. These are: (1) how he can start small; and (2) finance. What does starting small for a budding entrepreneur mean? It means small overheads. He lacks money, he lacks finance. He has to find ways and means to stinge, so to speak. Not everyone can afford a fancy office in one of the highrise buildings with marble floors or with wall-to-wall carpeting. Many of them would like to start business by starting small at home in their own rooms, the living rooms, and if they are a bit lucky and if they have a garage they would like to start business in the garage. But what happens in Singapore? The rules which our various Government bodies and statutory boards have do not permit this sort of thing. Try starting a business in your HDB flat, and the next thing you know you get a letter from the Area Office telling you to stop it, otherwise you will be evicted. If you apply to have a telex fixed in your flat, again the Telecoms will tell you, "We are sorry, we cannot do that." Sir, quite some years ago in the United States, a young man called Steven Jobs built his first computer in a garage in his home. That little garage and those few computers which he built became Apple computers, as we know it today. Who knows, Sir, that one day this kind of thing might happen to some lucky entrepreneur in Singapore. But at the moment I think some of the rules could be relaxed, make it a bit easier for people who are prepared to take the risk, to have an easier start. Sir, the second factor that is troubling entrepreneurs when they start off is, of course, the question of finance. I wonder how many Members in this House have ever experienced getting money from the banks. I have. I can assure Members that although we have time and again said that we should ask our banks to grant loans easily to our entrepreneurs, I think it is easier said than done. Banks are known to be fair weather friends. When anybody goes to them and say, "Can you lend me a few thousand dollars to start my business?" The first thing they ask you is, "Have you got anything to pledge? We would like to be 100% sure that if you do not return us the cash, at least we will have something to sell off in the end." Most of our entrepreneurs just do not have that kind of property to pledge to the banks. I think if they had property to pledge to the banks, I do not think they will be in the business of starting business in the first place. The banks, of course, see nothing wrong in granting hundreds of millions of dollars to Chop Hoo Thye, Lamipak, Pan-Electric, only to see it go down the drain. But if you try to borrow a few thousand dollars from the banks to start an honest and legitimate business, you run into a lot of problems. I welcome the recommendation of the Economic Committee to ask the Small Industries Finance Scheme to widen the scope of the Scheme to make loans to more of our businessmen, but not only just to make loans but to make conditions for the loans easier. Sir, in conclusion, I would like to say that the Economic Committee Report has been a success because it has been able to derive inputs from the private sector. The whole exercise has been significant in that Government has departed from its tradition of relying only on the Civil Service for the inputs that are so necessary in formulating decisions and policies. Hitherto, Government has long viewed the business community with suspicion, believing that its views would only serve its own interests. But that has changed over the years, and this whole exercise has seen the development of a mechanism that has allowed Government to tap the brains of the private sector and offer an insight into problems that Government might not otherwise have. As conditions change, it is essential that Government continues to keep its pulse on the economy and to hear alternative views. The private sector has responded well this time and I think it will only be too happy to continue to provide inputs to the Government if it is asked to do so. I feel, Sir, that the Economic Committee, at least in its form, should continue as a kind of Economic Advisory Council to the Government.