Sir, before I deal with the main body of the points which have been raised today, I should like to touch briefly on one point - I was castigated by the hon. Member for Tanglin on Friday for introducing once more the question of 60-year loans. This point was however at issue in the Select Committee. If reference is made to col. 158 of the Official Report (No. 6) of the proceedings of the Select Committee, it will be seen that the hon. Member was then a strong advocate of funding over a period in excess of 60 years. I quote him as saying: "Well, Mr Chairman, what I would like to see is that the period can be extended beyond 60 years if the estimated useful life of the project extends beyond 60 years, so that the generations to follow do bear a fair share of the cost. If that is not the meaning then I have no alternative but to vote against the whole clause [clause 81]." It seems to me that, at that particular stage of the proceedings, Mr Chairman, there were people who were Members of this Assembly who did feel most strongly that the loan should be funded over a period in excess of 60 years, and I merely made the remarks which I did on Friday, to emphasise that the Government's idea on that particular point was quite contrary to that expressed by the hon. Member of the Opposition in the Select Committee. Sir, in connection with the points which have been raised today, I must thank the hon. Mr Sutherland for his support. He speaks with far more authority in these matters than I do, and I hope that hon. Members will pay due regard to the remarks which he made. On the question of the effect in terms of reduction of costs to the consumer of funding a loan over the period of the useful life rather than the period of repayment, the hon. Member for Tanglin did quote certain figures, and I appreciate that, in quoting those figures, he was endeavouring to simplify the matter and to make a simple illustration for Members of the Assembly. But I think, if I may say so, that he overlooked the effect of compound interest in these matters. I have gone into the matter rather carefully, and on the periods which he quoted, I think that he rather tended to exaggerate the effect in terms of sinking fund contributions and savings as a result of reduced sinking fund contributions, but that is a minor point. 10.45 a.m. With regard to the illustration which he gave, the effect in terms of savings in sinking fund contributions on the cost of the product - electricity was the case he quoted - I think it is difficult to say what the effect of this reduced charge would be on the cost to the consumer. It depends so much on the cost of production, the particular purpose of the whole electricity asset for which the loan was floated, and many other factors. In considering these matters, I have endeavoured, on the basis of the Annual Report by the City Treasurer, to make an estimate of what the effect would be on the cost of the electricity to the consumer if all the loans which have been raised for the electricity undertaking were funded on the basis of the useful life rather than the period for repayment. The result of my calculations must inevitably be exceedingly rough, because, first of all, they are based on statistics given in the City Treasurer's Annual Report for 1956 (which is available to all Members who wish to see it) and on a purely arbitrary estimate of my own of the life of the electricity undertaking. I would say that, in working this out, I have tried to be fair and if there was any doubt in my mind about the length of the life of any particular portion of the undertaking I have given the advantage to the Opposition. For these reasons, I hesitate to quote these calculations, but, for what they are worth, I will give them. It might be that, if the loans floated for the electrical undertaking had been funded over the period of the useful life of the undertaking, the cost of a unit of electricity now would be reduced by a fraction of a cent. That is all I can say. I cannot go into any greater detail, but it is open to Members, if they like, to examine the City Treasurer's Annual Report and try and work out similar calculations for themselves. I cannot say, of course, to what extent the saving would be passed on the consumer, because you will appreciate, Mr Chairman, that the cost of the average unit of electricity is the cost of producing that unit, whether it is power for industry, or power for the refrigerator at one's own home or a fan or merely for electric light; and these charges vary. It is difficult to say to what extent this saving would be passed on to the consumer. It might indeed be that the saving was merely utilised to stabilise prices at a time when prices and costs of production were rising very considerably. Sir, I was accused not only on Friday but again today of being unnecessarily gloomy, in so far as I suggested that the City Council might possibly have difficulty in floating loans in the future. I think perhaps the hon. Member for Tanglin implied that I had been rather more categorical in the matter than indeed I was. He said that if the position was going to be such that the City Council would have difficulty - I think he went so far as to say that it could not float loans in future - then we might as well give up the ghost and abandon hope altogether. Of course, I did not suggest that at all. I merely said, as will be seen from the Hansard which will be available to Members, that I thought that the indications were that the City Council might conceivably have difficulty in floating a loan when they wanted it at any particular point in time in the future. I gave my reasons fairly fully for this feeling of uncertainty, and I do not wish to repeat them unnecessarily and take up the time of the House. But I think it is an important point and perhaps I should amplify my remarks to avoid any misunderstanding on the matter in the future. Sir, the City Council has at the moment an outstanding debt of approximately $250 million, all but $25 million of which has been raised in Singapore since the war. Sir, we already know of large development commitments for which loan money will be required in the immediate future. The population of Singapore is growing at an alarming rate, and as it grows, so the demands on public utility services will be increased. The pressure on the City Council to expand their services will be increased. And all these demands will result in demands for additional loan money. I cannot say at the moment how these demands in the future will compare with the very heavy demands which have been made in the past, but I think it is safe to say that they will be fairly substantial. It is not going to be easy to obtain this money, no matter over what periods the demand is spread. The amount available for capital development is, and will be, limited. The needs of expanding trade, on which Singapore's prosperity depends and will in the future also depend, despite all we hear about industrial expansion - these needs must be met. Again the needs of industry which we hope will grow must also be met. All this will require capital. There will be competition from other borrowers, for example, the Government, whose needs are as great and as pressing as those of the City Council; and the investing public in their widest sense, that is, including all the bodies which contribute to Municipal and Government loans, will be fairly sated as far as City Council and Government loans are concerned. If to this need for what I call developmental capital we add the need for loan redemption capital, then the borrowing situation will be correspondingly complicated. I will deal with that point in greater detail later. I feel that any particular generation of taxpayers in the future would be very much aggrieved to find that they could not obtain the social and other services which they demanded because any loan money which was available at that particular time was required to pay off their grandfather's or their father's debts. I doubt, Sir, if it is generally realised what the financial consequences of funding over the useful life of an asset might be, and this is very important. Let us take the case of a $20 million loan at five per cent, repayable over a period of 20 years, for a purpose the useful life of which is 40 years. Contributions are made to a sinking fund which, with compound interest, will enable the loan to be paid off in 40 years - that is what, I think, the hon. Member wishes. When the due date for repayment arrives after 20 years, that is, when the $20 million must be repaid, the sum of the sinking fund will amount to $6 million, which means that it will be $14 million short of the sum required for repayment of the loan: Now this money will have to be found from other sources, either, as Mr Sutherland suggested, conversion - which has not been very successful in the recent past - or floating new money, which is very difficult. Sir, since 1948 the City Council has borrowed in each year except one - 1950. Fortunately these loans are being funded in such a way that funds will be available for their repayment in due date. But suppose funding in all cases had been done over the useful life of the asset. In the case of water-works, for example, perhaps 60 years. In the 1970's all these loans will be due for repayment. At the same time, the City Council will no doubt require funds for new development, as will the Government. Would it be able to obtain them, with perhaps over $100 million required for the redemption of old loans? I doubt it. That will give hon. Members some idea of the position which might possibly arise in the future if the City Council, as it would no doubt wish to do, funded all loans over the useful life of the project instead of the period of the repayment. Now, Sir, lastly in this particular connection, we are looking very far ahead, but perhaps let us not look so far ahead. Let us look no further than the present. Does the hon. Member think that the City Council could easily raise the funds it requires for development at the present time? If the City Council were to float a loan tomorrow, would he subscribe from his private fortune, and would he advise the organisation which he represents to do the same? I can assure you, without in any way spreading alarm or despondency but merely facing facts - in this connection I do not think that anything said here will have any effect on the credit of the City Council or the Government overseas, because what we say here matters very little to the financiers of the world who calculate the odds as far as the credit of countries or cities like Singapore is concerned - that if the City Council were to go on the loan market tomorrow, it would find the greatest difficulty in raising funds which it requires, and next year when the Government will also be on the market for loan money, the matter would be even more different. Sir, when I spoke on Friday I did mention the happy situation of local governments at home which could count with reasonable certainty on access to the London market; but at the present time, even these local government authorities in the United Kingdom are having the greatest difficulty in finding the money which they require for development projects even on the London market. In my speech on Friday I said the conclusion was reached that it would be unwise to give the City Council carte blanche in the matter of funding loans, and I was immediately taken to task by the hon. Member for Tanglin. Indeed I was taken to task again today. He said the City Council did not have carte blanche because the sanction of the Governor in Council was required for any policy it might suggest in any particular case, as is indeed the case; and of course, the power is given to the Governor in Council under clauses, clause 79, for example, to fix the terms on which loans will be granted. But I think that the hon. Member has missed my point, that is, that if his amendment is accepted, the City Council will, in effect, have carte blanche. The general policy of funding loans will be laid down in the clause and the sanction of the Governor in Council, or their heirs and successors, will be a formality in the absence of any special circumstances which might make the following of the general policy undesirable. It is easy to imagine the pressure which will be brought to bear on the City Council to have all loans funded over the period of the useful life of the purpose. This pressure will be transmitted to an elected Cabinet. It is to avoid the consequences of this pressure and to render the position of the City Council or the Governor in Council less difficult, as well as to lay down what is considered to be a prudent policy, that it is desired to prescribe in the law what normal policy will be; and that, Sir, is all that clause 81 does do. It merely says that, normally, loans will be funded within the period of repayment. It does not exclude the possibility of funding over a longer period. I made that clear on Friday. In fact, it goes on to say that such funding will be allowed in certain circumstances. The only limitation which is placed on that extended power is that it shall in no case exceed the useful life or 60 years, whichever is the lesser. The clause, Sir, merely indicates, as a guide to politicians and as a reassurance to potential subscribers, what the policy will be, and that it will be a prudent one. I do not think in the circumstances that it would be wise to change it. I also endeavoured to give some idea of the circumstances in which this power to extend the period would be used. I was careful to say that in all probability it would be used when circumstances in the loan market were such that funds could only be obtained at reasonable rates on short-term. This, I think I can say with confidence, meets the wishes of the officials of the City Council at the present time. After all, they are responsible for this policy of funding loans and for operating the public utilities. Finally, Sir, at the risk of being accused once more of being what I might say characteristically and occupationally pessimistic, I would suggest that, at this time of great constitutional change, with its attendant uncertainty about the future, we should ignore vote-catching suggestions by politicians who have not yet shouldered responsibility or had the experience of being in power, with pre-election promises as bed-fellows - a most uncomfortable experience, since they seem to be all feet and knees and elbows - and adhere to safe and prudent policies. A law can readily be changed if the object of the change is relaxation. It is more difficult to undo the financial consequences of a hasty and shortsighted decision. Sir, I reaffirm that the Government rejects the amendment. 11.00 a.m.