Perhaps then, Sir, I may be allowed to say that, if I were a practitioner of the art of glibness - which I am not - I would not fail to avail myself of this opportunity to make deep obeisance to the high priest of the art, who is unfortunately now absent from his seat! On the question of the compilation of the Budget - this vexed question of estimated deficits being converted in the event into surpluses - I should say first of all, Sir, that we are to a certain extent bound by precedent in the method of compilation of the Estimates. The form in which they are presented has stood the test of time. It has been used for many years. It has been shaped and amended as conditions have demanded, and I think it does represent the best possible way of presenting the Estimates of a Government under the present Constitution. It is extraordinarily difficult, Sir, to estimate actual expenditure with any degree of accuracy in conditions of an expanding economy and where departments are growing rapidly. We take every possible step to ensure that nothing is entered in the Estimates which is not required for the efficient conduct of Government business and for the implementation of plans for the expansion of social services, but it is difficult if not impossible to say what will be spent in the event. If I may take the example of Personal Emoluments, Sir, we examine every application for new appointments with extreme care because, if approved, not only will it mean an increase in Government expenditure for the period of the officer's service, but it will also increase the bill for pensions. We examine these applications with very great care and we only enter in the Estimates those new appointments which are required for the efficient conduct of Government business. But we cannot say when we make up the Estimates how many of the new posts will be filled, what will be the state of the recruitment market, how many officers will be promoted to vacant posts, or when they will be promoted, or what savings will eventuate at the end of the year. Similarly in the case of Other Charges Annually Recurrent and Other Charges Special Expenditure, we may provide recurrent expenditure for a new launch or a new building, or some similar service, but the launch or building may not be completed on schedule and savings result. I think Sir, that explains how these savings do occur. There is, of course, a solution of the kind whereby over-estimating might be avoided. It might be possible to make a very rough guess under each head of expenditure of what under-expenditure might be at the end of the year, and then make a corresponding deduction from the total of that head. But that is a purely arbitrary approach to the matter, Sir, and any guess made in that way is as likely to prove wrong as to prove right. I personally prefer the course which we have followed for many years in Singapore. That is to let the Estimates stand and then to try, on the basis of experience and the record of the past, to give some estimate of what actual expenditure is likely to be when presenting the Budget. That is what we have done in the past, Sir, and what I have done this year. I have endeavoured, on the basis of past experience, to estimate what actual expenditure for 1958 will be, and I think that my estimates will not be very wide of the mark. I cannot believe, Sir, that this is a glib presentation. If I may continue, Sir, on the subject of the speech of the Member for Tanjong Pagar, he touched on a matter of Malayanisation which I think illustrated very clearly his facile manner of speech. He said - if my memory serves me right - that the total bill for Malayanisation, taking this at $25 million would take approximately 200 years to wipe off. I would like to refer him to the Interim Report of the Malayanisation Commission and to Chapter VI which is entitled the "Financial Aspect", in which he will see that the members of the Commission estimated that, when Malayanisation was complete, the savings on expatriation pay, passages and allowances would amount to approximately $34 million per year. That being so, the total cost of Malayanisation would, according to my calculations, be wiped off within a period of eight years. The Member also made, Sir, some rather facile references to income tax, to the inability of the Income Tax Department to collect tax, and he also made what I regard as rather facile suggestions as to how we might collect $108 million in a full year. He quickly passed from the matter - perhaps he did not have time to explain how it could be achieved - but I hope, Sir, that before the matter comes up in the Committee of Supply he will give me an opportunity to consider his suggestion by showing me his calculations. As Minister responsible for the Department of Income Tax, I must protest most vigorously against the accusations which are constantly levelled against it. The Department has been in existence for a little more than nine years. It now collects 27 per cent of the revenue of the Colony. I am satisfied, on investigations which I myself have made in connection with criticisms made in this Assembly, that most of the people who are liable to tax are known to the Department. To assess 20,000 individuals in a year, 60,000 cases are examined. As I say, Sir, I think that most of the people who are liable to tax are known to the Department. It is, however, an extremely difficult matter, in a complex society such as that of Singapore, to make certain that everybody pays the amount of tax which he is liable to pay. Moreover, Sir, in the matter of the assessment and collection of tax, we have been hampered to a certain extent by the fact that the officers of the Department started as it were from scratch in 1948. But we have, over a period of 9 years, Sir, built up what I regard as a quite extraordinary volume of experience in tax assessment and collection. And I am confident that the efficiency of the Department will increase and as this efficiency increases, so the amount of tax collected will increase, and the number of evaders of tax be substantially reduced. Passing now, Sir, to the question of taxation, it has been suggested that this was an election Budget and I would like to deny this most stoutly. The fact of the matter is that, on my calculations, no more than $8 million will be required to balance the actual expenditure and revenue next year. Had more been required, the Government would not have hesitated to impose further taxation. I would like to make that quite clear. It was also suggested, Sir, that in choosing petrol, we were following the lead of the Federation. That of course is not correct. It was stated when presenting the Budget for 1956 that the policy of this Government wherever items in the tariffs of the two territories coincided, was to bring the rates in Singapore to the same level as those in the Federation. The necessity for such action is of course obvious and I need not elaborate to any extent. The existence of different rates of tax in the two territories creates administrative difficulties and results in a considerable loss of revenue. It was said by, I think, the Member for Queenstown (Mr Lee Choon Eng) that it would be a very good thing if, for a change, the Federation Government followed the Government of Singapore but I would point out that this has indeed happened this year. The Government of the Federation of Malaya has raised its rate of estate duty to the same level as that of Singapore. On the question of the increase in petrol duty, we went into this with very great care, Sir, and quite apart from the desirability of having the same rate here as in the Federation, we are convinced that an increase of 20 cents per gallon would cause no hardship to any category of society in Singapore. Certain remarks were made during the course of the debate on the statement which I made in my speech, and which my hon, friend the Minister for Commerce and Industry made in his speech,, to the effect that import duties might be imposed in Singapore. I would however like to draw attention to the fact that I merely mentioned this as a possibility which would only be considered after all other possible means of increasing revenue had been explored - you might say, as a last resort. As I said, I hope sincerely that it will never be necessary to impose import duties and thus undermine the free port status of Singapore. I think the Member for Telok Ayer (Mr R. Jumabhoy) expressed a desire that all possible steps should be taken to reduce expenditure and I can only assure him, as I did when presenting the Budget, that we are very conscious of the need. It is our constant preoccupation, Sir, to take every possible step to reduce expenditure. We examine every proposal for increased expenditure and new appointments with very great care and I think that most heads of departments will agree that it is an extremely hard matter to persuade the Treasury that any new appointment or increased expenditure is essential. Lastly, on the question of the general policies of Government, attention has been drawn to the fact that I said that it was idle to deny that confidence in Singapore was less at the moment than it had been prior to 1955. I should point out that my statement referred to the fact that events in 1955 and in the early part of 1956 had done much to destroy external confidence in the future of Singapore. What I also said in my speech, Sir - and here I would like to speak, if I may, as a colonial official - was that a feature of the last two years was the extent to which confidence in Singapore has been restored by the Lim Yew Hock Government. This has been due to the quiet and commonsense approach to all economic and financial matters which has characterized its work. I would like to stress that I speak not as a politician but as a civil servant of some years experience. We are all aware that Singapore has been built up by trade, that the future of Singapore depends on trade, that trade cannot exist or flourish unless there is confidence in the policies, organisation and the constitution of the place in which trade takes place. Traders must be certain that their contracts will be honoured and that, if they are not honoured, they can obtain redress in the courts. It is with these facts in mind that I say that the efforts of this Government in connection with the suppression of subversion, and the action which it has taken to pursue commonsense and realistic economic and financial policies, have done a very, very great deal to restore confidence in Singapore. My friend the Minister for Commerce and Industry spoke at considerable length on the question of industrialisation. On this particular point, Sir, I must congratulate the Member for Telok Ayer (Mr R. Jumabhoy) for setting out so succinctly the various conditions which have to be fulfilled if industry is to flourish in Singapore. As for the criticisms of the action of the Government in this matter, I think these have been answered very fully by the Minister for Commerce, but I would like to say, Sir, before I leave this particular subject, that we should free our minds from any misapprehensions about this question of industrialisation of Singapore. Industrialise we must, but it must be realised that our main source of livelihood has always been and always will remain trade, and industry can only be at the very best a second line of defence. All this talk about industrial expansion must not be allowed to distract the minds of our traders from what must be their main preoccupation, that is, the prosecution of trade and the preservation of their ability to be competitive, to offer immediately the best possible terms to anybody who comes to buy or sell in Singapore. Singapore can never be a Birmingham. We will never see a pall of smoke above Singapore indicating a range of factories turning out manufactured goods. We are already fairly highly industrialised in an Asian context. There are very few places in Asia which are more heavily industrialised than we are at the moment, and any expansion of industry in Singapore, as I see it, can only be by small advances along the very wide existing range of secondary industries. We cannot hope for steel mills or thread mills or anything like that on a highly industrialised scale. What we can hope for is the replacement of existing machinery by better machinery, the reorganisation of the capital structure of the family firm to allow expansion, the employment of more capable managers and the examination and exploitation of overseas markets. But that could amount to a very great deal. The hon. Mr Sutherland touched upon the question of the Central Bank. As I explained in my speech when presenting the Budget, this matter is sub judice at the present time. I should say quite clearly however that it is the concern of the Government of Singapore to preserve a stable, strong and an automatically convertible currency, because a currency of that nature is vital to Singapore as a trading centre, and I may say that we are prepared to go to very great lengths indeed to achieve the aim. I hope that, in the future, it will be possible to reach some compromise whereby, over a period of time, we can, on the one side, learn to appreciate the value of a Central Bank and on the other side learn to appreciate to the full the great advantages of a currency such as we have at the moment. Sir, I beg to move.