Mr Speaker, Sir, exactly, one year ago, I informed the House of the Government's package of economic measures to counter the regional crisis. The mood was heavy. The region was in turmoil, and global financial markets were nervous. Retrenchments were rising, and we braced ourselves for severe turbulence. The $10.5 billion package was a decisive move to reduce business costs, build confidence, and help companies to tide over the very difficult period. It included significant wage and CPF cuts, and enjoyed the full support of the Government, workers and employers. Our response demonstrated our determination to ride out the storm, and bolstered confidence in Singapore. Now, a year later, the mood has totally changed. Things have turned out much better than we feared. Except for Indonesia's problems with Aceh, the worst of the Asian crisis is behind us. Throughout the region exchange rates have firmed, interest rates have come down, confidence has returned, and growth is resuming. Our own economy has picked up sharply, boosted by our cost-cutting measures and the regional recovery. We expect about 5% growth this year, and between 4.5% and 6.5% next year. Our challenge now is to manage the recovery, to restore the economy to full health without mishap. Growth has become broader based and unemployment is down. But the economy still has some weak patches. We must be especially careful with the manufacturing sector, as several industries continue to face severe cost pressure, including disk drives and petroleum refining. At the same time, restructuring is continuing, and is causing a steady stream of retrenchments. We must redouble efforts to help these retrenched workers find new jobs. In the light of these developments, the Government has reviewed its economic stance, and particularly the measures in last year's cost reduction package. In general, last year's package will continue as committed. However, the tightening labour market has made it necessary to bring forward the restoration of employer CPF contribution rates. The improved economic outlook also justifies a higher quantum of year-end bonus for civil servants, and a restoration of the wage cuts imposed on civil servants. We need to adjust the Skills Development Levy, as skills upgrading is critical to keeping workers employable. In key areas of business costs, namely, industrial land rentals and port and airport dues, we will extend the rebates for an additional year. CPF Let me first take the CPF. The Government has explained the need to bring forward the restoration of CPF contribution rates to next year, instead of 2001 as originally planned. The labour market is tightening. And unless we do this, the CPF reduction will simply be converted to higher wage settlements. And this will make it harder to restore the CPF contributions later on. The employer's CPF contribution rate will therefore be increased by 2% points to 12%, with effect from April 2000. This 2% point restoration will be allocated fully to the Special Account. The Government's intention is to restore employer's CPF contributions fully to 20%, the rate which prevailed before the cut. The reduction to 10% last year was a temporary move to deal with an immediate crisis. It did not affect the desired long-term contribution rate of 20% plus 20%, which had been calculated to provide enough savings for workers' health care and old age needs. The restoration of the CPF rate will be done as soon as possible at a pace which the economy can bear. If conditions are favourable, we should be able to restore it fully within about five years. Our priority will be to build up the Special Account first, as this is the absolute minimum nest egg which all Singaporeans should have when they retire. Civil Service NWC Award Now, the civil service. With the recovery in the economy, the Government has decided to increase the quantum of year-end bonus to civil servants. Last year, civil servants received a total of 3/4 month of AVC (Annual Variable Component): 1/2 month in July and 1/4 month in December. And this was 1 1/4 month less than the two-month worth of AVC which they had been paid in 1997, the year before. This year, the Government has already paid 1/2 month of AVC in July. In December, the Government will pay civil servants another 1/2 month of AVC. This makes a total of one month of AVC for the year as a whole, 1/4 month more than last year. The Government will, as usual, also pay the one month of Annual Wage Supplement. In addition, because the economic outlook has improved significantly since the NWC recommendations were published in May, the Government will pay civil servants a one-off Special Bonus of 1/4 month. Taking the AVC and Special Bonus together, civil servants will receive 11/4 months this year, still less than the two months of AVC which they were receiving before the crisis. For the longer term, the civil service is studying ways to link pay more closely to performance. If the economy remains strong next year, and there is an NWC award for civil servants, I stress "if", the Government will use part or all of this to begin to build up a performance-based annual bonus for all civil servants. Concurrently, the Government also intends to continue to build up the AVC in future years, whenever economic performance justifies it. The Government will discuss the implementation of these changes with the unions in due course. Restoration of Cuts/Freeze in Civil Service Salaries As part of last year's package, the Government took the lead in implementing wage cuts for civil servants and political appointments. Monthly salaries of Staff Grade, Superscale, Division I and Division II officers were cut by 5%, 3%, 2% and 1% points respectively on 1st January 1999. The Government will fully restore these wage cuts with effect from 1st January 2000. Apart from the wage cuts, the salaries of Ministers and senior civil servants, which are normally pegged to private sector earnings, were frozen in 1998 and 1999. However, the private sector benchmark increased by 13% in 1998 and 29% in 1999, based on private sector earnings two years earlier, in other words, earnings in 1996 and 1997 respectively. The figures for next year's benchmark are not yet complete, but IRAS estimates that it has increased further, because some partnerships and companies continued to do well in 1998, despite the economic crisis. Now that the economy is recovering, we must restore the proper relativity between private and public sector salaries. This is crucial if we are to retain and attract talent, and maintain the high quality of our public service and Government. The Public Service Division is currently reviewing the salary formula for Ministers and senior civil servants set out in the 1994 White Paper on "Competitive Salaries for Competent and Honest Government". The White Paper had called for such a review after five years. PSD's conclusion is that the basic framework is sound, and the salary benchmarks selected are appropriate. However, we can refine the methodology for calculating the benchmarks and shorten the delay in applying the benchmarks to the public sector. We also need to review the structure of civil service salaries to create more flexibility, and increase the weight of performance bonuses in the total salary package. PSD is still working out the details. The review should be completed and the changes announced and implemented by early next year. Private Sector Salaries The Government's approach to civil service salaries and bonuses is consistent with the NWC recommendations. In May, the NWC had recommended continued wage restraint, while providing companies that perform well greater flexibility to reward their workers. The NWC set guidelines for these companies to reward workers through bonuses or wage increases, preferably in the form of a monthly variable component. Because of the economic recovery, more companies will now fall into this category (ie, companies which are doing well) but the NWC guidelines for how they should reward workers remain valid. Skills Development Levy Training and retraining is vital to keep our workers employable, and to enable us to compete globally as a knowledge economy. Singaporeans must continually upgrade their skills and embrace life-long learning. The Skills Development Fund (SDF) has been effective in encouraging employers to invest in worker training and skills upgrading. Set up in 1979, the SDF is funded from collections in the Skills Development Levy (SDL) on employers for workers below a monthly salary of $1,000. Today, the SDF supports over 560,000 training places per year, the majority taken up by workers with 'A' levels or below. While training commitments from the SDF have grown substantially over the years, collections from the SDL have fallen. In FY98, the SDF committed more than $88 million in training grants but the levy collection was only $20 million. This is because as wages rise, the number of workers earning less than $1,000 shrinks. The base of the SDL has thus been declining - from about 800,000 workers in 1980 to about 350,000 workers currently. This is even though the size of the overall workforce has doubled and more higher paid workers need training. This is not sustainable or equitable. For the SDF to continue to play its role in worker training and skills upgrading, the SDF levy has to be adjusted. This can be done either by increasing the levy rate, or by raising the salary cut-off below which the SDL is collected. The Government has decided to keep the levy rate unchanged at 1%, but to progressively raise the salary ceiling for SDL contributions from the current $1,000 to $2,000 over the next five years to 2004. The first increase from $1,000 to $1,500 will take effect on 1st July 2000. This will expand the base of the SDL collection to around 670,000 workers, in other words, almost double the number paying today, and increase the SDL collection by $28 million a year, to $48 million. The SDL salary ceiling will subsequently be raised to $1,800 in 2002 and to $2,000 in 2004. Beyond 2004, the Government will revise the ceiling regularly to keep it in line with wage levels. Companies should not treat higher SDL contributions as an additional cost burden, as they can redeem these contributions by training their workers. They should instead look upon them as part of their essential investment in human capital. The wage and CPF reduction for local workers last year was complemented by a reduction in the foreign worker levy. This was to assist companies, especially manufacturers, which depend heavily on foreign workers. Hence, the Government reduced the monthly levy for skilled foreign workers by $70 for all sectors in January this year. The levy for unskilled foreign workers in the manufacturing and services sector was also cut by $90. The foreign worker levy reduction has helped to lower overall business costs in Singapore. Despite the levy reduction, there has been no surge in the number of foreign workers, while the number of Singaporeans in the workforce has gone up. The Government will therefore leave foreign worker levy rates unchanged for another year. Industrial land - JTC and HDB rentals In January this year, as part of the cost-cutting package, JTC reduced its posted rentals for industrial land and flatted and standard factories back to the levels of the early 1990s. This translated to a 20-40% rental reduction for lessees and tenants who are paying above the posted rates. Those on the 4% or 5.5% rental escalation scheme were also granted a 2-year freeze on their rental escalation to the end of December 2000. JTC lessees paying below their revised posted rates were granted an extension of rental rebates up to the end of this year. Recognising the need to continue to be careful over costs for the manufacturing sector, JTC will extend the current industrial rental rebates for another year to December 2000. HDB will similarly extend their rental rebates for lessees of industrial land and tenants of commercial and industrial properties for another year until December 2000. Tenants of HDB commercial and industrial properties who are paying above posted rates will continue to receive rent rebates, but subject to a cap of 10%, instead of the previous 20%. Transport - MPA and CAAS fees Sea and air transportation are important complements to the manufacturing sector and have a significant impact on our export competitiveness. Hence, the Government will extend cost rebates and concessions in these two sectors. The Maritime and Port Authority (MPA) will extend the 20% port dues concession for container ships and harbour craft for another year until December 2000. PSA Corporation will extend the 10% rebate on lift-on/lift-off charges and wharf handling, as well as the 10% rebate on warehouse and office rentals, for another year until December 2000. Similarly, the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS) will extend the 10% rebate on landing fees for aircraft until December 2000. CAAS will also extend the rebate on warehouse, office and retail shop rentals until December 2000. Financial impact The two percentage point restoration of the employer's CPF contribution rate will cost employers $741 million per year, while the increase in the SDL ceiling from $1,000 to $1,500 will cost $28 million per year. These will be offset by industrial land and transport rebates totalling $237 million per year. However, employers will still enjoy substantial cost savings, compared to before the cost reduction package, because we are only restoring 2% points of the 10% point reduction in the employer's CPF contribution rate. The Government remains mindful of the need to maintain cost competitiveness even as the economy picks up. However, we cannot freeze all charges and fees indefinitely, without accumulating distortions that will harm our economy. Charges and fees have to be revised from time to time to reflect rising costs. But the Government will exercise moderation in doing so and it will ensure that the cumulative burden on the economy and on households is not excessive. Conclusion The last two years have been a major challenge for Singapore. It is still too early to declare victory, but so far we have come through without major mishap. We benefited from the strong foundation of sound policies pursued consistently over many years, as well as our prompt, rational and cohesive response to a very grave situation. The restoration of the CPF contribution rate, the civil service bonus award and salary restoration, the increase in the SDL, and the continuation of the rebates on industrial rentals and sea and air transport will help to position us for this phase of recovery. While we are confident of the future, we must never become complacent. Post-crisis, we do not expect to resume high growth effortlessly. While Asia has been busy with immediate problems, globalisation and technology have continued to progress apace. We must keep up with these trends, and continually adjust our policies to meet changing circumstances. Only thus can we stay ahead of the game, strengthen our competitiveness and secure our long-term growth and prosperity. Mr Speaker, Sir, I have a summary (Cols. 505-6) of the measures which I will ask the Clerk to distribute to Members. [Copy of document distributed to hon. Members]. Table - Summary of Adjustments to November 1998 Cost Cutting Package (Cols. 505-6)