(Paper Cmd. 3 of 2002)
Sir, let me, first of all, address the Members' concerns about the Concept Plan and our land use policy. Then after that, I will deal with the issue of property prices. Sir, first of all, let me explain the purpose of the Concept Plan and what the Concept Plan is all about. It is a strategic land use plan that helps us to map out the long-term physical development of Singapore. By long term, I am talking about 40 to 50 years, and it will affect, to a large extent, how Singaporeans live, work and play. Because of this, when URA prepared the Concept Plan, it undertook an extensive part of the consultation exercise in preparing for this plan. In addition to this, there were also considerable inputs gathered from professionals, both locally as well as overseas. Sir, the Concept Plan is not an exercise in forecasting the future. We cannot forecast the future. Rather it is a kind of road map that guides us as we move into the future. So as the road takes unforeseen twists and turns, so too must we adjust. This is the reason why we say that we have to review the Concept Plan every 10 years, and the last review was done in 2001. Having completed this Concept Plan review, the next step is to now proceed to review the Master Plan. Let me explain what the Master Plan is as opposed to the Concept Plan. The Master Plan is reviewed once every five years. And what it does is that it translates the strategic vision of the Concept Plan into a specific actual land use plan for the whole of Singapore. And this is not for 40-50 years, we are talking about the immediate as well as the medium term. So from the Concept Plan, we break it down into land use plans for the various districts in Singapore and we call this the Master Plan. And this Master Plan is revised every five years. The last one was done in 1998. So the next one is due next year, 2003. As such, the Master Plan is of considerable interest to the general public and, in particular, to the property owners. Because if you are a property owner, from the Master Plan you will be able to establish what you can use your land for, how intensively you can develop that land and also the kind of land use in your neighbourhood so that you will know what is going on around you. As Members have noted, URA, in preparing the Concept Plan, underwent an extensive consultation exercise and it is going to do the same for the Master Plan review, in other words, consult the public extensively so that the Master Plan can take the interest of various parties into account. Inevitably, in the course of consulting the public, what is going to happen is that there will be many different points of view that will surface between different individuals and different groups. For example, an owner in a landed housing estate wants to have a higher plot ratio for his land. In fact, we constantly receive many requests from landed property owners asking for plot ratios to be intensified. But his neighbour may not agree, his neighbour may not want to have a taller building, changing the character of his estate. And the point that Mr Ong Kian Min brought up about change of use, this is a common issue. Many small businesses want to convert, they want to use residential properties for commercial use, etc, so they ask for flexibility in their land use, with good intention. Because what they want is to be able to keep the costs of business down. But, inevitably, there will be complaints from neighbours. It causes disamenity to the estate. It brings more traffic into the estate, and so on. So there is always this constant tussle between one group wanting one thing and another group wanting another. One group may lobby strongly for conservation. They want to preserve the social memory of the place, they want to leave everything untouched. But the owners of the property may not be interested in conservation and preserving memory. What they want is to be able to redevelop their land, to bring in more activities. Sir, all these examples go to show the dilemma that confronts URA when we review the Master Plan, particularly, when we have many diverse interests which are conflicting. After considering all these views, URA must make a decision, and this decision has to strike a balance between these diverse views in as fair a manner as possible and, at the same time, assure that the needs of competing land uses and, of course, the national interests are taken into consideration. This is where I come to a point raised by Mr Iswaran on the question about identity, how do we preserve heritage and identity, how do we choose, how would Singaporeans participate in the process and what happens after we have identified various areas. Do we run the risk of making it overly clinical, rendering it devoid of character, as Mr Iswaran mentioned just now? I am pleased to inform both Dr Teo and Mr Iswaran that the new Master Plan 2003 will place its greater emphasis on the issues of identity and the quality of our living environment. Let me elaborate. First of all, on the identity plan. Yes, I agree that, as Singapore develops, as Singapore grows into a world-class city, we need to establish certain things which are distinctive and unique to Singapore, familiar places, places which represent our shared identity and our social memory. Sir, as part of the Master Plan Review 2003, an island-wide identity plan is being prepared which will take stock of all such significant roads across the island. Guidelines will be proposed to reinforce the existing character so that whoever develops these areas must ensure that the character of these places is not inadvertently eroded. Some of these areas naturally spring to mind: Anak Bukit is one of them, along Bukit Timah Road. Those of you who are familiar with Anak Bukit will know that this is a place which is rich in local identity and significance. It is a little village centre, a little kampong for people living in the Upper Bukit Timah area. It has got a sizable cluster of shophouses. It has got many popular eating places, many retail shops. It is also a place where many of Singapore's older shopping centres are. So URA is proposing to retain the character of the area by retaining the low-scale developments and allowing more space for outdoor dining. Hopefully, this will reinforce the liveliness of the area. 4.15 pm We are looking at similar plans for other areas, such as Katong, and Jalan Leban along Upper Thomson Road. Mr Iswaran asked how do we choose such places. Why not Taman Serasi? Why not, indeed? If there are other places which can lend themselves to such efforts, by all means surface them, because the process does not start and stop with URA. The identification of these places is not the end of the story. What we want is to be able to create more vibrancy, more buzz in these areas, while retaining their existing charm. And, yes, I also agree with Mr Iswaran that we must be mindful that we do not, as he put it, be too clinical about it such that we render these places devoid of character. We will be mindful that we do not overdo it, that we will not over-plan, and that we will not destroy the very essence of the place that we are trying to preserve. Let me also explain to the House what else we are doing, in terms of trying to enhance the quality of our environment. There is a Parks and Waterbodies Plan that will be incorporated as part of the Master Plan review, and this is now being prepared, the idea being to make our existing parks more accessible and also to open up previously unexplored areas for recreational activities. I remember Dr Teo making this point earlier about how inaccessible some of our parks are. That is a valid point. To the extent possible, we will try to open up more of our existing parks but, equally importantly, there is an opportunity for us now to open up previously inaccessible areas. For example, the Central Catchment area. One proposal is to open up the Central Catchment area by introducing more trails through the forests and boardwalks along the waterfront. There will be a new canopy walk, which we constructed to offer a different experience of the Central Catchment area. Of course, all these plans will have to be discussed with the various relevant agencies, to make sure that, for example, the environment of the Central Catchment is protected, in order not to compromise our water quality. There will be other parks being planned. Woodlands will see a new regional park. In Sengkang, along Sungei Ponggol, there will be a riverine park. So we are trying to create different types of parks to cater to different interests and with different facilities. As these plans are intended to reflect the character of places that are meaningful to our people, I assure Mr Iswaran that URA will consult widely. It will consult a wide spectrum of Singaporeans when we put together this Identity Plan and the Parks and Waterbodies Plan. Since April this year, URA has begun seeking inputs from advisers and grassroots leaders in preparing the draft proposals. But, as we are well aware, such things can be very subjective. Things like social memory and identity mean different things to different people. It has to depend very much on individual experiences. So what we are going to do is to prepare the draft plans and, thereafter, we will exhibit these plans sometime towards the middle or later part of this year, and people will be encouraged to come and visit these exhibitions and to give us their views and inputs. This public feedback that is gathered will then be incorporated into a Draft Master Plan. This Draft Master Plan will then be exhibited, region by region, because as I explained earlier, these are rather detailed plans. So we are going to exhibit them, region by region, probably in the first half of next year. This is another opportunity for the public to offer their views. After all this is done, URA will finalise the Master Plan, and that will be towards the end of next year. So we can see, Sir, that this is a rather lengthy but important, worthwhile and necessary process because, through this process, I hope that the final plan can truly be a joint project of the URA and its stakeholders. By stakeholders, I am talking of course of Singaporeans, people who live, work and play in these areas. Sir, I now come to the comments made by various Members about the property market and, particularly, about the role of the Government in the property market. Mr Inderjit Singh, in particular, suggested that changes be made to Government policies in order to lower land and property costs, so as to boost our economic competitiveness. He said that if the Government has all the levers in place, it will be able to control property prices. Can the Government control property prices? On the surface of it, the answer is yes. One way is for us to flood the market with land, and prices will react immediately. We may even bring property prices down by 30%, as suggested by Mr Inderjit Singh as being a desirable target to achieve. However, as Mr Ong Kian Min rightly pointed out, is it going to stop there at 30%? But that is another story. What would be the outcome of this, if we were to do that, assuming we wanted to do that? Some businesses will benefit in the short term from lower property prices, and those who are not property owners currently will rejoice. But many existing land and property owners will face a sudden drop in the value of their assets, with serious financial consequences. Mr Inderjit Singh, I think, acknowledges this. But, just to give a rough idea of what I mean by serious financial consequences. I did a rough back-of-the envelope calculation. If we just take HDB flats, for example. There are 800,000 flats and, very conservatively, we value it at, say, about $200,000 per flat. There are 3-room flats which are about $150,000, 4-room flats, about $200,000-250,000, and 5-room flats, $350,000. But if I just take a very conservative $200,000 per flat, for 800,000 flats, a 30% drop in prices means that we wipe out $48 billion worth of value! And that is not a laughing matter. That is not the end of the story. Because land is limited in Singapore, no matter how much we reclaim land, even with all the current reclamation that we are planning to do and, if possible technically, we can reclaim even more land. [Interruption.] Even if we were to be able to do that and - if Mr Low has any good ideas, he could let me know - eventually, our limited land supply will mean that prices will start moving up again as the supply is used up. And what do we do then to bring down land prices, if indeed that is the key to our competitiveness? Mr Inderjit Singh's suggestion is a well-intentioned one. His point is that if we bring down land prices we will regain our competitiveness. But I suggest to him that his medicine will probably kill the patient before he cures him. Sir, we need to be mindful that we are a nation of homeowners. 90% of Singaporeans own homes. So I agree with Mr Ong that it is very important that we maintain a stable property market in Singapore and, in order for us to do so, we need to have a right balance of Government measures to achieve this desirable objective. The question then is: what are these measures? What role can the Government play in the property market? There have been very specific comments made by various Members, Dr Amy Khor particularly, about the GLS and the reserve price, the use of the Reserve List, etc. I would like to address some of these issues now when talking about what role the Government can play. First of all, let us start from basics. What is the objective of the Government? The key objective of the Government surely must be to sustain economic growth. In this regard, our land policy must be to make available land for development through the Government Land Sales programme, such that we are able to sustain economic growth and not to just control property prices. Dr Amy Khor asked how land is supplied under the Government Land Sales programme. The Government Land Sales programme seeks to ensure that there is a steady supply of land to meet the demand for various parts of the economy, for various uses - commercial, industrial and residential. How do we determine the supply? We take into account factors, such as household formation rate, potential supply in the pipeline, and the average take-up rate. And, if we have a sufficient and steady supply of land, then prices will not escalate sharply, and the market will be more stable. As we all realise, there will be circumstances when the Government may have to intervene. These are exceptional circumstances when there are abnormal trends in the market. For example, in the mid-90s, when speculation became rife, the Government introduced anti-speculation measures in 1996, because we recognised that it is not healthy when speculation causes a property bubble to build up. After the property bubble was pricked, some of these measures were removed. Why were they removed? For the simple reason that there was no longer any evidence of property speculation and there was ample supply in the market. By releasing sufficient land, and by intervening when necessary, the Government aims to provide a stable property market environment for businesses to operate in. And some of the desirable operating conditions for businesses are stability and predictability. But we recognise that it is difficult to determine demand accurately because the market is dynamic. This is why we introduced the Reserve List system last year, in order to enable the GLS programme to be more responsive to market demand, as Dr Amy Khor said. With this system, reserved sites will be released for land when developers apply for them. So our GLS system allows the market the flexibility to adjust the amount of supply which it can readily absorb. Dr Amy Khor did allude to the fact that we should expand the Reserve List. I am not sure whether she meant getting rid of the Confirmed List. We already have a substantial Reserve List, but we would still like to keep the Confirmed List, because it is not just a matter of supplying land through the GLS programme. The GLS programme is also a tool for the Government to steer private capital to achieve certain specific development objectives. Let me give one example: the new Downtown. It is our intention to expand the existing Central Business District into the new Downtown area in Marina South. In so doing, we want to develop Singapore into a business and financial hub. We have put in a lot of infrastructure into the new Downtown to support this expansion. For example, the common services tunnel has been laid, the MRT is going in there, and many other services are going in, in order to allow us to move development into this area. So, the Confirmed List will help us to steer office development towards the new Downtown, and that will align it with our plans for a business and financial hub in the area. We will need to manage the overall supply through both the Confirmed List and the Reserve List. I do agree with Dr Khor when she says that when we have allocations of land, eg, Turf City as well as the SLF land in Ang Mo Kio, we should take these into account in our overall land supply. I would like to assure her that we do. The SLF land has been allocated because the Government wants to redevelop the Ang Mo Kio Interchange area. There is a lot of quantum which is being provided for the unions to use. Whatever is left over is being used by the private sector, but that quantum is minimal. Even then, that quantum is being adjusted and taken into account in the GLS. So we will do this in order to make sure that the market knows how much land is available. Giving you another example, we have indicated that we are looking into the release of a large site for an integrated development at the new Downtown. The details are still being worked out by the Economic Review Committee. But I can say that we will not be implementing the project this year but when we do, again, the supply from this development will be factored into the GLS programme. It will take into account the floor space that is generated from this integrated development. We will, of course, also make sure when the project is implemented, that it will not destabilise the property market. 4.30 pm Sir, let me now touch on the reserve price. Dr Khor commented that the GLS does not give us an idea of Government's reserve price and that, to a certain extent, the reserve price system has caused prices to go up. Let me explain why we set a reserve price for our land sales. It again goes back to the fundamental principle that State land is an asset that belongs to the people. As a custodian of the people's assets, the Government has the responsibility to ensure that land is disposed of at its true market value and this means setting a reserve price to ensure that our land is not sold off for a song. But reserve prices are not cast in stone. They change with market conditions. So when the economy goes up, prices go up, and when the economy is not doing well, prices come down. I think she is aware, for example, that when we sold two sites in the new Downtown, one was sold in March 2001, the price was $3,100 per square metre of floor area. Then, just earlier this week, we awarded the second site for $2,400 per square metre of floor area. In other words, the market recognises that prices have come down. Similarly, the reserve price has also come down and this is the reason why we were able to award both these sites. Dr Khor also proposed that perhaps we should not have just one reserve price - we should have a band. This is already being done. We recognise that the Chief Valuer's reserve price is not an absolute figure, it is not absolutely precise. This is the reason why we have a band. If the tender price is above 85% of the Chief Valuer's price, we will award the site. This 15% band is considered to be an acceptable range by valuers. Let me conclude by assuring the House that the Government is fully conscious of the need to maintain Singapore's economic competitiveness. We will make sure that there is sufficient land to meet the demand from all sectors of our economy. To ensure that we remain price competitive, we regularly benchmark our property values and rentals against other major cities. Just to give you an example. In the case of commercial properties, there was a survey done in January this year and Singapore ranked 31st amongst the major world cities in terms of cost of office space. Our office rentals were cheaper than several major Asian cities, such as Tokyo, Hong Kong, Taipei and Beijing. Admittedly, we were more expensive than Shanghai, Delhi and KL. Sir, Singapore will never be as cheap as some other countries which have a large land mass, and we cannot compete on property prices and those alone. We have many strategic competitive advantages. We have a stable political and social environment. We have a world-class business infrastructure. We have a highly trained workforce and unsurpassed connectivity to business opportunities regionally and beyond. At the same time, we have a Government that is responsive, pro-business and willing to change, whether it is reviewing our tax regime or attracting high value-added industries or facilitating business opportunities, both locally and overseas. Sir, we have a lot going for us. It is not necessary to deliberately depress the true market value of land and destabilise the property market and it is not in our interest to do so.