Mr Speaker, Sir, let me first, like other hon. Members of this House, thank the Minister for Finance for having listened to the people and modifying the planned GST hike. Mr Speaker, Sir, like education and many other issues before this House, the GST hike, which is what the Bill is concerned with, is, in my view, not "if" but "when" and "how". On the "if", the Minister for Finance has already given this House and the people of Singapore several reasons for the need to raise GST, such as the need to attract and retain talent, as well as the fact that we are increasingly facing an ageing population and that the tax base will diminish concurrently as the burden on public finances to fund health care rises. These factors, coupled with the anticipated slower economic growth in the medium term, produce compelling reasons why Singapore needs to broaden its tax base and increase indirect taxes like GST whilst reducing direct taxes. Sir, I would also like to note that with the increase in GST from 3% to 5%, our rate remains one of the lowest among nations that have implemented GST. For instance, the standard GST or VAT rate is 17 1/2% in the UK, 12 1/2% in New Zealand, 10% in Korea, 5-10% in Taiwan, 5% in Japan, and 7% in Thailand. The hike to 5% is, thus, not misaligned from this perspective. In fact, it is clear that almost all agree that the GST rate would have to go up. No question about this. The question is when. On the "when", coming after a series of price hikes in transport fares, utilities, parking charges and even garbage collection fees, the ground feel is naturally one of consternation, sharply heightened by the poor economic conditions and the spectre of even more unemployment in the streets. Although the Government has said that the offset package will more than cover the increase in GST and that it will be expansionary, many Singaporeans remain unconvinced, as the Minister for Finance has noted earlier. One Singaporean, in an unpublished letter to the press, noted that whilst more than a million CPF account holders have withdrawn their New Singapore Shares, stallholders have at the same time reported a drastic drop in businesses by up to 80%. Hence, he is sceptical that the offset package will be expansionary. In fact, I have had quite a number of residents who have asked me to appeal to the Town Council and Singapore Power, amongst others, to ask for deferment of payment until they have encashed their NSS or ERS. Thus, many lower income residents are in fact using the NSS and ERS as a lifeline to tide over their financial difficulties, and pay for essential household bills, school fees and textbooks. The expansionary impact of the GST offset package is thus likely to be less than expected. I note the oft-cited view that there is never a good time to raise taxes. Indeed, they say that death and taxes are the only two certainties in life. One argument for a 2003 hike is that foreign investors will lose confidence in the Government's ability to keep its word, since the hike was already announced in the 2002 Budget Statement as part of a package of measures to restructure our tax regime. Therefore, any delay could be construed by the international community as succumbing to people pressure against the long-term interest of the country. And because the Government is not populist, we will have to do what we say we will do. Sir, this Government is not one that reneges on its word. But I am proud to note that when the GST was first introduced in 1993, this Government promised to hold the GST rate at 3% for five years and it has kept its promise. On the other hand, breaking a similar promise now, ie, deferring the planned hike, would be easier to do because of the political backlash of being a promise-keeper. Nonetheless, Sir, I am delighted, and so are many other Singaporeans, that after habitually saying "The answer is no" and "The answer is still no" on many occasions, this Government is now finally saying "Let us consider because of the changed circumstances" and, indeed, it has modified the planned hike. I do not think that this means the Government is bowing to populist pressure. Rather, it shows that the Government is not afraid to bend, if it is satisfied that there are good reasons to do so and, indeed, there are good reasons. Sir, I believe that the votes - and, as Mdm Ho noted earlier, the bets - were split as to which of the two options was preferred. Nonetheless, I feel - and I think the Government feels that too - that there could be a tilt towards the phased-in scheme, which I am pleased the Minister for Finance has announced the Government has opted for. Phasing in shows that the Government is firm in its policy, yet flexible in responding to the economic and political environment. Most would welcome some reprieve, real or imagined, from the full increase in rate. As one retailer noted, "every bit helps". However, I would like to highlight that some businessmen, particularly those who are not registered for GST, feel that due to the poor economic conditions and strong competition, they may be forced to absorb the 1% increase in GST, thus further squeezing their already razor-thin margins, as their clients would say, "Since it is only 1%, you should absorb it." In fact, a few businessmen actually told me that their preference was for the Government to increase the rate to 5% straightaway, and then provide additional help to those in need. They feel that there is not much difference between a 1% and 2% hike, and we might as well take the pain straight and face up to the realities of the harsh economic conditions and aggressive competition ahead. But the option of increasing the GST to the full 5%, but with more help to low income families, could have a higher political cost, since there would be groups who will not benefit significantly or directly from any offset package. Additionally, the current experience has shown that even though theoretically many individuals should not be worse off due to the two-percentage point GST increase as the relief package should cushion the blow, many are still upset as they perceive this to be yet another hike. Many also tend to divorce the GST hike and relief package, and feel that the two are separate matters. I am pleased to note that the Government has taken heed of these sentiments. On the "how", as the Government has chosen the phased-in scheme, I urge the Government to give careful thought to mitigating the pain, especially on two groups: 1) smaller businesses which do not benefit from the lower direct tax regime and will find themselves squeezed by consumers because of weak demand to absorb all or part of the increase; and 2) lower income groups struggling to eke out an existence. The Government must continue to find ways to help small businesses to lower their costs, as many which are yet to be profitable would not benefit from the corporate tax cuts, while those who are struggling and making marginal profits will also not benefit significantly from the new tax regime. Rental rebates, lower property taxes, grants for upgrading the businesses, or even attractive financing packages, could be further extended to such businesses which are struggling in the current economic conditions but which are otherwise fundamentally sound. The lower income group is struggling due to the poor economic conditions as well as the structural change in the employment landscape which renders many who are unskilled redundant in the labour market. They will continue to need help as long as the economic outlook remains bleak. As noted earlier, many are in fact using their NSS and ERS as lifelines to tide them over the financial difficulties. We need to continue to help this group remain employable through retraining as well as through job creation. At the end of the day, Sir, the groundswell against the GST hike stems most acutely from the fact that we are in the midst of a recession, and the livelihood of ordinary citizens are at risk. There is really never a good time to raise taxes, but the people of Singapore will need to take a calm and rational look at the grim economic realities affecting the long-term future of our country that is at the core of the Government's tax policy. But the immediate pain, though alleviated through the phased-in approach, still cannot be lightly dismissed. I would urge the Government to consider additional off-Budget relief measures to help Singaporeans and businesses tide over their cash flow difficulties if the economy worsens. Modifying the when and how of the GST implementation would clearly help to restore the people's faith in the Government and, barring any other Government policy announcements, will be a good note on which to end the year. It will certainly add cheer to the Hari Raya festive season tomorrow.