The cut in CPF rate will save employers $1.3 billion a year. It will boost our efforts to draw in investments, and create jobs. Revised Special and Medisave Accounts Contribution Rates Next, the contribution rates for the Special and Medisave Accounts. The ERC had earlier recommended higher Special Account rates for CPF members. The proposal was 5% for CPF members aged 35 and below, 7% for those aged 35 to 45 years, and 9% for those aged 45 to 55 years, ie, three steps, 5%, 7% and 9%. This was to help members set aside more cash savings for their retirement. Higher rates are needed if we allow members to withdraw 50% of the Ordinary and Special Accounts at age 55. However, if we change the policy on CPF withdrawal at age 55, as I will explain later, we can afford to have the Special Account rates lower than the ERC target rates. The new target Special Account contribution rates will therefore be 5% for members aged 35 and below, 6% for those aged 35 to 45 years, and 7% for those aged 45 to 55 years. This is shown in Table 4. Table 4: Special Account Target Contribution Rates 35 and Below Above 35 to 45 Above 45 to 55 Old 5% 7% 9% New 5% 6% 7% Next, Medisave. The Medisave Account contribution rates will remain at 6% for CPF members aged 35 and below, 7% for those aged 35 to 45, and 8% for those above 45 years old. We had earlier planned to increase the Medisave Account contributions, up to the ERC target rates of 7, 8 and 9%, but we will now defer this move. The figures are given in Table 5. Table 5: Medisave Account Target Contribution Rates 35 and Below Above 35 to 45 Above 45 Old1 7% 8% 9% New 6% 7% 8% 1Existing contribution rates are 6%, 7%, 8% for respective age groups. The Government had earlier accepted the ERC recommendation to change to target rates of 7%, 8%, 9%. CPF Salary Ceiling Let me move on to the CPF salary ceiling. The ERC established the principle that the CPF scheme should focus on workers earning between the 10th and 80th percentile incomes. The lowest 10% of wage earners cannot rely on the CPF alone for their retirement needs. They will need other social support schemes. On the other hand, the top 20% of wage earners should be able to look after themselves. If they want to save more for their old age, they should do so on their own. We should not make it compulsory through the CPF scheme. Otherwise, it will add rigidities to our wage system, and impose additional cost burden on businesses. Lower Salary Ceiling to $4,500 Following the ERC review last year, we had already decided to reduce the CPF salary ceiling in two steps. First, from a monthly salary of $6,000 to $5,500 on 1st January 2004. Second, from $5,500 to $5,000 on 1st January 2005. However, $5,000 is still higher than the 80th percentile monthly salary, which is currently $3,700. We will, therefore, lower the salary ceiling further from $5,000 to $4,500 on 1st January 2006. It is $4,500 and not $3,700, and there is a reason for this. Assuming a reasonable rate of wage increase and inflation, by 2006, $4,500 will be just a little above the 80th percentile income. The phasing in of the CPF salary ceiling is shown in Table 6. Table 6: CPF Salary Ceiling Current $6,000 1 Jan 2004 $5,500 1 Jan 2005 $5,000 1 Jan 2006 $4,500 The salary ceiling for additional wages, consisting typically of bonuses, will be adjusted proportionately. Pensionable civil servants have lower CPF rates and a higher salary ceiling than non-pensionable workers. Their salary ceiling will also be adjusted. The original plan to reduce the CPF salary ceiling from $6,000 to $5,000 will save businesses $260 million a year. The additional reduction to $4,500 will save businesses another $137 million. In total, our businesses will save $400 million in wage costs annually, come 1st January 2006. Reward workers through variable pay Even in this difficult economic environment, some companies are doing well. The cut in the CPF rates and the lowering of the salary ceiling will give them windfall profits. I urge these companies to use the savings to reward their workers through the variable pay component. This could be in higher performance bonuses or monthly variable components. CPF and Medisave Minimum Sums The changes to the CPF rate and salary ceiling will give employers substantial wage savings. But they will mean less CPF savings for workers. This makes it even more important that the savings be used only for housing, healthcare and retirement expenses. To ensure that members have enough for healthcare and retirement, we must adjust the CPF and Medisave Minimum Sums, and tighten up the withdrawal rules at age 55. These are the third and fourth areas of change. Raise CPF Minimum Sum to $120,000 The CPF Minimum Sum gives CPF members a monthly payment after their retirement at age 62 a certain sum of money. It is the nest egg that will see them through their old age. The current Minimum Sum is $80,000. Half of this can be in a property pledge. So most CPF members have only $40,000 in cash in the Minimum Sum. This will fund a monthly payment of only $252 from age 62 to 80. It is a small fraction of most workers' last drawn pay, and is not enough for their basic needs. We will, therefore, increase the Minimum Sum from $80,000 to $120,000 in today's dollars. As before, half of this can be in a property pledge. The other $60,000 in cash will yield a monthly payment of $378. This is still not much, but more adequate than $252 presently. Table 7 gives the details of the phasing in of the Minimum Sum. Table 7: CPF Minimum Sum (in today's dollars) Current $80,000 1 Jul 2004 $84,000 1 Jul 2005 $88,000 1 Jul 2006 $92,000 1 Jul 2007 $96,000 1 Jul 2008 $100,000 1 Jul 2009 $104,000 1 Jul 2010 $108,000 1 Jul 2011 $112,000 1 Jul 2012 $116,000 1 Jul 2013 $120,000 The CPF Minimum Sum will be raised by $4,000 a year, and adjusted for inflation, starting 1st July 2004. It will reach $120,000 (today's dollars) by 2013. Today, the life expectancy of Singaporeans is about 80 years. We will, therefore, adjust the monthly payment amounts, to make the Minimum Sum savings last around 18 years for most members, from retirement at age 62 until they are 80 years old. Maintain purchasing power of Medisave Minimum Sum Besides the CPF Minimum Sum, there is also a Medisave Minimum Sum. This is currently $25,000. Minister Khaw Boon Wan will do his best to keep healthcare costs reasonable. But we should still expect costs to increase over the years. We will, therefore, adjust the Medisave Minimum Sum every year to take into account inflation of healthcare costs. This will preserve its purchasing power. Enforce Medisave Minimum Sum Next, under current rules, a CPF member who has less than $25,000 in his Medisave Account is not required to top it up to $25,000. This is the case even if he has excess balances in his Ordinary and Special Accounts which he can withdraw at age 55. The purpose of the Medisave Minimum Sum is to make sure that we have enough money set aside to meet healthcare expenses in our older years. As life expectancy increases, Singaporeans will spend more on healthcare. Furthermore, on average, someone aged 80 spends three to five times more on healthcare than someone aged 62. Each additional year of life adds considerably to healthcare expenses. It is, therefore, unsatisfactory to allow CPF members with excess balances in the Ordinary and Special Accounts to withdraw the money at age 55 without topping up the Medisave Minimum Sum. We will progressively require them to do so, as shown in Table 8. Table 8: Medisave Minimum Sum to be Topped Up Before CPF Withdrawal at Age 55 (in today's dollars) Current $0 1 Jan 2004 $2,500 1 Jan 2005 $5,000 1 Jan 2006 $7,500 1 Jan 2007 $10,000 1 Jan 2008 $12,500 1 Jan 2009 $15,000 1 Jan 2010 $17,500 1 Jan 2011 $20,000 1 Jan 2012 $22,500 1 Jan 2013 $25,000 From 1st January 2004, we will require CPF members to top up their Medisave Minimum Sum to $2,500, before they make any CPF withdrawal at age 55. Over the next ten years, we will increase the top-up requirement by $2,500 every year, adjusted for inflation. In other words, on 1st January 2005, Singaporeans must top up their Medisave Minimum Sum to $5,000; on 1st January 2006, it will be $7,500; and so on. By 1st January 2013, CPF members will have to top up their Medisave Minimum Sum to $25,000 (today's dollars), before making their CPF withdrawal. Withdrawal rule at age 55 The final area of change is the CPF withdrawal rule when a member turns 55. This is to ensure that Singaporeans will have enough for their retirement, healthcare and housing expenses, despite the lower CPF rate. Meeting Minimum Sums before cash withdrawal Presently, at age 55, CPF members can withdraw 50% of their combined Ordinary and Special Accounts balances. They can do so even if this leaves them with less than $40,000 in the CPF, which is supposed to be the cash portion of the current CPF Minimum Sum. The 50% withdrawal rule will leave many members with insufficient CPF balances to see them through their old age. Now that we have to lower the CPF contribution rate, the problem will be even more acute. We will amend this rule. We will still allow members to withdraw their CPF at age 55, but only after they meet the CPF and Medisave Minimum Sums requirements. However, CPF members will continue to be able to withdraw the first $5,000 in their CPF accounts, as is the case now, even if they have not met the Minimum Sums requirements. No change for next 5 years I know that the changes to the CPF withdrawal rule will upset many plans. Older Singaporeans are looking forward to a tidy sum of money at 55, to do what they have yearned for a long time. Some will use it to pay off outstanding mortgages, or their debts. Others will use it to go on a long holiday, or to invest in business ventures. Therefore, we will not make any changes to the withdrawal rule for the next five years. We will not upset the plans of those who are over 50 today. Phase out 50% withdrawal by 2013 We will start to phase out the 50% withdrawal rule only from 1st January 2009, and then do so over a further period of five years. This is shown in Table 9. From 1st January 2009, members turning 55 can only withdraw 40% of their Ordinary and Special Accounts, and then the remaining balances, if any, after they have met the CPF Minimum Sum and the Medisave Minimum Sum requirements. This percentage of withdrawal will go down by 10 percentage points each year. In other words, 30% in 2010, 20% in 2011 and so on. Table 9: Withdrawal of OA and SA Balances at Age 55 Until 31 Dec 08 50% (unchanged) 2009 40% 2010 30% 2011 20% 2012 10% From 1 Jan 2013 0% Come 1st January 2013, CPF members who reach 55 can withdraw the balances in their Ordinary and Special Accounts only after setting aside the CPF Minimum Sum and the Medisave Minimum Sum. This means that the first group of Singaporeans to be fully subject to the new rule will be those who turn 45 on 1st January 2004. Help measures I understand the worries of Singaporeans. From feedback, I know that they have been anxiously re-looking their finances since I announced the changes at the National Day Rally. Most Singaporeans will be able to cope. But many may have to do some belt tightening. The Government will help ease their adjustment pain. We have put together an assistance package. It will include measures to help homeowners cope with their loan repayment, which may be affected by the cut in CPF. The package will also contain further measures to help the low income and unemployed, and tide businesses over this period of slow economic growth. DPM Lee will announce the details later in the debate. There has been speculation whether the Government will postpone the implementation of the one-percent increase in GST scheduled for 1st January 2004. No, we will not. We will be proceeding as planned. We have delayed it by one year already. We should not delay the increase any further. The GST increase is part of our economic restructuring. It is to make up for the loss of revenue from our lowering of income taxes. The Economic Restructuring Shares will enable Singaporeans to offset the GST increase for several years. Conclusion - Teamwork Let me conclude. The changes I have announced are the most drastic we have ever made to the CPF system. They are necessary because we are seeing the most drastic changes yet in our external environment. China and India especially, pose formidable competition, with their abundant, skilled and low-cost manpower. We have to lower our costs to remain attractive to investors, even as we embark on a wider exercise to lift our economy to a higher plane. I know that Singaporeans are worried about the future. They wonder whether we can ever return to sunny days, given the strong competition. But remember, we transformed ourselves from Third World to First in just 38 years, against all odds. We have developed many strengths and advantages along the way - the common use of English, the rule of law, harmonious labour relations, excellent infrastructure, and a good reputation. These strengths will continue to stand us in good stead as we face stronger competition. Most importantly, we have a strong team, working together for the success of Singapore. For example, our workforce is first class. We have established companies that are well-run, financially sound and expanding. At the same time, we have entrepreneurs who are starting a variety of businesses and venturing beyond Singapore. Our grassroots and community leaders help keep our nation united. And our media plays a constructive role in helping our people understand our surroundings and challenges better. We owe our past success to teamwork - the people, the employers and the Government working hand in hand. As a team, we have won many matches for Singapore. If we continue to pull together as a team, we will also triumph over the upcoming challenge. But we must also alter our strategy and improve our capabilities, because the competition has become stronger. If we do not, we will surely not reach the highlands. In this regard, the changes to the CPF scheme are an important component of our wider re-strategising for the economy. They will go a long way to improve our cost competitiveness. We must implement the changes, and at the same time, help those who are affected to adjust. With the changes and your co-operation, I am confident that we will not revert to being a Third World country again. On the contrary, we will strengthen our position in the First World. [Applause.]