I have His Excellency's authority to move the Second Reading of The Appropriation Bill (1959) . It is customary at this time to refer briefly to the accounts for 1957 and to deal rather more fully with the workings for 1958 before passing to the Draft Estimates for 1959. Reference has been made to 1957 in the Memorandum which accompanied the Draft Estimates and the Statement of Accounts will be published and in the hands of hon. Members very shortly. 1958 has not been a particularly easy year. When the Draft Estimates were introduced in December, 1957, it was said that, although a deficit was budgetted for, it was probable that revenue and expenditure would balance in the event, provided that economic conditions continued favourable and supplementary votes were reduced to a minimum. Almost immediately, the recession in trade, which had been threatening, struck in the United States. By the early spring, its effects were beginning to be felt in Singapore. By May, there was no doubt that it had arrived. Revenue collections began to fall below the estimate. Money became tighter. Trade drifted into the doldrums. It was impossible to say how severe the recession would be, or how long it would last. We were fairly heavily committed as far as expenditure was concerned. A severe and prolonged recession could have a serious effect on our finances. We were more vulnerable to the effects of a trade recession than we had ever been before because we now relied on company and income tax for 26 per cent of our revenue. If the recession were severe or prolonged, we would be in danger of incurring substantial deficits on current account which would in turn run down reserves. It was already clear that we had started off the year with a much smaller balance in the Development Fund than we had expected, and there was certain to be a deficit which would have to be met from reserves. A severe and prolonged recession would also limit our ability to raise loans and to contribute from revenue to development. We might be in some danger of entering into capital commitments which we might find it difficult to meet. In short, the cumulative effect of a severe and prolonged trade recession would be to run down our basic reserves below the safety level. It therefore seemed essential to take stock of the position and to introduce such precautionary measures as seemed necessary while there was still time. Hon. Members are already aware of the steps which were taken in this connection. As far as the ordinary estimates of expenditure were concerned, all vacant posts were "frozen" until they could be reviewed in the light of the changed financial position. Heads of Departments were asked to review all recurrent expenditure in order to effect the maximum economies. Items of special expenditure not yet committed were examined and many which were not essential were ruthlessly cut out. As far as the Development Estimates were concerned, a halt was called on all projects which had not yet been started, in order to avoid any danger of becoming over-committed. Advantage was also taken of the halt to re-examine the immediate need for some items of capital development which had hitherto been given a high priority. The steps which were taken have achieved the purpose. As far as ordinary expenditure is concerned, considerable economies have been effected in expenditure on personal emoluments over and above those which were to be expected, and my latest information is that expenditure will be about $104 million compared with the original estimate of $123 million. Economies have also been effected on Annually Recurrent expenditure and it now looks as if expenditure will not exceed $106 million compared with the original estimate of $111 million and the revised estimate of $108 million given in the Memorandum which accompanied the estimates. Special expenditure is now estimated at about $38 million compared with the estimate of $42 million. In all, total expenditure now seems likely to be of the order of $248 million. At the same time, revenue has not suffered as seriously as it was at one time thought likely. Collections of customs duties have certainly fallen below the estimate, particularly in respect of liquors and petrol, but it appears probable that Income Tax collections will achieve the estimate. Fortunately, a total shortfall of close on $5 million under Class I is likely to be offset by corresponding increases under Classes IV and V and the total should not be very far off the original estimate of $249 million. With some luck, therefore, actual revenue and expenditure might balance at about $248 million which, when all things are considered, is very satisfactory. As far as development was concerned, the steps taken were equally effective. Expenditure was brought under control and any possibility of becoming over-committed was avoided. A number of large items were re-examined and awarded a lower priority than had previously been attached to them. On the basis of the latest information available, it seems likely that development expenditure in 1958 will be of the order of $62 million which is approximately the same as the total of development expenditure in 1957. The largest item of expenditure is Singapore Improvement Trust housing which accounts for $21 million compared with $8 million in 1955, $9 million in 1956, and $18 million in 1957. The final instalment of the loan to the Singapore Telephone Board amounts to $5 million. Works and buildings have cost $21.4 million and the balance has been devoted to Special Development Expenditure. To meet this expenditure, the resources of the Development Fund have totalled $49 million. In this connection, the balance of the Development Fund carried over from 1957 was over-estimated by $16 million. This was due to a rapid and unforeseen increase in expenditure between the time when the estimates were drawn up and the end of the year. There is therefore likely to be a deficit of the order of $13 million in the Development Fund which will have to be charged to reserves. The year should therefore end with revenue and expenditure balanced, with a deficit of $13 million in the Development Fund, and a charge of about $4 million in respect of Malayanisation Compensation, both of which will have to be met from reserve. The general revenue balance, which stood at $78 million at the end of 1957, will stand at about $83 million after $20 million has been added in respect of Christmas. Island and allowance made for appreciation of investments on the one hand and deduction made for the deficit in the Development Fund and in respect of Malayanisation on the other. Equally comforting is the fact that the recession now appears to be definitely on the wane. It seems clear that the tide had already turned in the United States by the time the worst effects of the recession were beginning to be felt in Singapore. It is also true to say that the recession has been "cushioned" as far as Singapore is concerned by the fact that the volume of rubber handled, and its price, have been well maintained throughout the year, and by the fact that trade with Indonesia has remained good. There are, however, still one or two disquieting features. For example, the present state of the tin industry gives much cause for concern, although it is hoped that this may pick up in the second quarter of 1959. But on the whole it looks as if the tide has definitely turned here also and there is a reasonable hope that the recession may be a thing of the past by the middle of next year. Let us turn now to the Draft Estimates of Revenue and Expenditure for 1959. Revenue has been estimated, on the basis of existing taxation, at $243.6 million. Collections under Class I have, in the main, been estimated on the basis of collections in 1958. Allowance has been made for a slight increase in collections of entertainment duty due t, the fact that some new cinemas will be in operation in 1959. It has been estimated that liquor duties will yield much the same in 1958. The consumption of petrol tends to increase but at a slower rate than in the immediate past and allowance has been made for a slight increase in collections. The estimate for collections of income tax shows a decrease of $10 million compared with the estimate of collections for 1958, allowance having been made for the reduction of earnings of some companies in the last twelve months. The total estimate for the Class is $185 million compared with an original estimate of $196.8 million and a revised estimate of $191.8 million for 1958. The estimate for Class II at $17.5 million shows an increase of $2 million compared with the revised estimate for 1958. allowance having been made for the increased yield from the Education Rate recently approved by the Assembly. It is estimated that collections under Class III will be maintained at about the level of collections in 1958. The estimate for Class IV shows a reduction of $2.2 million compared with 1958 due to a reduction in the estimate for interest on investments and loans. This however is counterbalanced by an increase of $2.4 million under Class V, it being expected that profits from the currency fund will exceed the share received in 1958. The estimates of expenditure for 1959 total $268.5 million compared with $277 million in 1958. If hon. Members will look at the table which appears on page 5 of the Memorandum which accompanied the Estimates, they will see that the estimate of expenditure each year has tended to exceed, sometimes by considerable amounts, the estimate for the previous years. I think that it will be agreed that it is a considerable achievement on the part of all officers responsible for the preparation of departmental estimates to have managed to keep the estimate for 1959 not only within, but considerably below, that for 1958. It has been achieved by a most meticulous examination of all proposals; by more realistic estimating of expenditure on personal emoluments in the case of the larger spending departments: by insisting that, as far as possible, all existing vacancies should be filled before new posts are created; by measuring demands for new posts and additional recurrent expenditure against services which will actually come into being in 1959; by keeping to a minimum the number of recruits necessary to maintain the pipe line in Education; by cutting provision for recurrent expenditure to the bone; and by being quite ruthless about items of special expenditure which were not absolutely imperative. I feel sure that hon. Members will find cause for considerable satisfaction in the results which have been achieved by these measures. At the same time I must make it clear that, while it has been possible to keep the estimate of expenditure well within the limits of the 1958 provision, it must not be expected that actual expenditure can be limited in the same way. An increase in expenditure is inevitable. A glance at the table which appears on page 13 of the Estimates will show how it tends to increase, department by department, each year. An increase over 1958 levels must be expected in 1959. Increments under approved schemes must be paid; vacancies in essential posts must be filled; recruits hitherto lacking will almost certainly become available; and there is of course the ever increasing recurrent expenditure on Education arising out of the policy approved by the All Party Committee in 1955. But the action taken in connection with the 1959 Draft Estimates will mean that the rate of increase is slowed down, and the great point, of course, is that the ceiling or limit of possible expenditure has been lowered very considerably. As far as the format of the estimates is concerned, there has been only one major change, namely, the creation of a separate Head for District Councils. Another change is the disappearance of the Royal Malayan Navy, it having been transferred to the Federation of Malaya. As far as content is concerned, there is little which is novel or new or likely to be contentious in the Draft Estimates. The only points of this nature to which attention might be drawn are the creation of a Guard and Escort Unit absorbing the bulk of the Special Constabulary under Police, the creation of a section for Community Recreation under the Ministry of Labour and provision in respect of budgetary deficits and scholarships for Nanyang University. The estimate of expenditure on personal emoluments totals $114.9 million compared with $123 million in 1958. The action taken to achieve this reduction has already been described. New posts have been limited to the absolute minimum required to maintain efficiency and to provide for new and expanding services. A list of the new posts entered for 1959 is given in the appendix to the Memorandum which accompanied the Draft Estimates. The total of 885 compares with 1,584 in 1956, 1,727 in 1957 and 1,723 in 1958. The list does not include the posts required for the Guard and Escort Unit, since the creation of this Unit merely involves a switch of posts from Special Expenditure to Personal Emoluments. The bulk of the new posts appear under Police, where the Special Branch and the C. I. D, have been strengthened; under Education, where provision has been made to maintain a supply of recruits for the training pipe line; and under Medical where provision has been made for recruits for training in various branches and for the staffing of the Chronic Sick Hospital. As I have said, everything possible has been done to estimate realistically the sum required for emoluments in 1959. In this connection, it will be noted that, in the case of some departments - Education and Medical in particular - a special reduction has been made to take account of hidden under-expenditure. The total provision is $114 million and I do not think that actual expenditure will fall very far short of this amount. There will no longer be the savings under Personal Emoluments which have been a marked characteristic of previous years. The estimate of expenditure under O.C.A.R. is $118 million compared with $111 million in 1958. Everything possible has been done to perpetuate the substantial economies effected in 1958 but these have been offset by the expansion of the Social Services and by the increased provision required for District Councils, Public Debt and Pensions. For example, Education requires a net increase of $4.6 million. The provision for Grants in aid has risen by $2 million. The Polytechnic, which will be in full operation in 1959, will require $1.7 million. The contribution to the University of Malaya, which has been transferred from O. C. S. E., will amount to $2.676 million. The Medical and Health Department requires $10.9 million compared with $9.7 million in 1958. Provision for the Public Debt has been increased by $1.1 million to provide for charges in respect of the new loan which it is hoped to float in 1959. Pensions require an additional $1.5 million. As far as expenditure is concerned, actual O.C.A.R. expenditure always tends to approximate to the estimate and it is doubtful if expenditure in 1959 will fall very far short of the estimate. The sum provided for Special Expenditure is $35.3 million of which $20 million is a contribution to development. The main items of expenditure have been indicated in the Memorandum which accompanied the Draft Estimates. As will be seen from an examination of the Draft Estimates, the Special Expenditure estimates have been drastically pruned. Taking under-expenditure on the one hand and unforeseen revotes on the other into account, it is considered that actual expenditure in 1959 will be of the order of $33 million. All in all, if I may be allowed to hazard a guess as to what actual expenditure on the basis of these estimates is likely to be in 1959, I should say that it will be of the order of $264 million. The position therefore is that, for 1959, we have revenue estimated at $243 million, expenditure estimated at $264 million and a deficit of possibly $21 million to be bridged by increased taxation. It is proposed to bridge this gap by raising company tax and the rate of tax on non-resident individuals to 40 per cent; to increase the rate of individual income tax on all chargeable incomes of over $4,000 with a new maximum of 50 per cent on chargeable incomes of $50,000 and over; and to make certain adjustments to the tobacco duty tariff. It is estimated that these measures will yield about $21 million in 1959. With regard to company tax, it has been considered for some time that an increase in the rate was justified but circumstances have prevented us from taking action. It has now been agreed with the Federation Government that the rate of tax should be increased to 40 per cent and the Minister of Finance in the Federation is making an announcement to this effect today. This new rate will be effective from the 1st of January. At the same time, it has been decided to increase the rate of tax on non-resident individuals, trustees and executors to the same level. In the past, it has been found desirable that the rate of tax on companies and non-resident individuals etc. should be the same. A bill amending section 43 of the Income Tax Ordinance in these respects will be tabled today. It is estimated that these measures will yield $10 million in 1959. It has also been decided to raise the rate of tax on individual incomes on all chargeable incomes of $4,000 and over, rising to a new maximum of 50 per cent on incomes of $50,000 and over. A motion to amend the Second Schedule of the Income Tax Ordinance will be in the hands of hon. Members this morning. The new rate of tax is shown in the Schedule which is attached to the motion. A comparison of this new schedule with the existing Second Schedule will indicate the changes in rate. Chargeable incomes of under $4,000 are not affected by the change. An individual with a chargeable income of $5,000 will have to pay $40 more than he does at present. A man with a chargeable income of $7,000 will have to pay $60 more than he does at present; a man with a chargeable income of $15,000, $300 more; a man with chargeable income of $25,000, $800 more an so on. The new maximum is 50 per cent which is attached to chargeable incomes of $50,000 and over. At this level, the increase in tax will be $3,800. A table showing the increases in tax at various levels of chargeable income is attached to the motion which will be in the hands of hon. Members today. The Federation Government cannot see its way to take similar action at the present time. However, I can say that the Federation Government sees no objection, from the point of view of Pan-Malayan income tax, to Singapore taking independent action at the present time. The fact that different rates of tax on individual incomes are being used in the two territories will not cause any administrative inconvenience or difficulty. It is estimated that these new rates which will be effective from 1st January, 1959 will yield rather more than $5 million. It has also been decided to alter the tobacco duty tariff. The system of charging an ad valorem duty on the c.i.f. price of certain brands of cigarettes and pipe tobacco which was introduced in October has not worked particularly well in practice. It has given rise to certain anomalies and the yield has been disappointingly low. It has therefore been decided to revert to the old system whereby duty was charged on weight alone, and to increase the duty on most brands of imported cigarettes and pipe tobacco to the levels which have been maintained in the Federation for the past five years. In revising the duty on imported cigarettes, a distinction has been made between cigarettes with a tobacco content of less than 2.32 lbs, per thousand sticks and cigarettes with a tobacco content of 2.32 lbs, a thousand sticks or more, that is, between cigarettes like Double Ace, Rough Rider and Torchlight, and all other brands. The duty on the former will remain at the present levels of $8.60 a pound full and $8.10 a pound preferential while the duty on the latter will be raised to Federation levels, namely $10.50 a pound full and $10 a pound preferential. This will mean that while the cost of the poor man's smokes remains unchanged, the cost of the more expensive brands will go up by 5 cents for a packet of 10 cigarettes. The price of locally manufactured cigarettes will also remain unchanged as it is not proposed to raise the rate of duty on cut tobacco imported for local manufacture of machine-made cigarettes for the present at any rate. The duty on all brands of pipe tobacco will be increased to Federation levels, that is $10.10 a pound full and $10 a pound preferential. These changes in the tobacco tariff took effect at midnight last night and have since been gazetted. A motion under section 11 of the Customs Ordinance will be debated on the 12th of December. The changes should yield about $5.5 million in 1959. These increases should yield a total of about $21 million and should bring the total revenue collection up to $264 million. This approximates to the estimate of actual expenditure which I have given and which comes within $4 million of the total estimated expenditure of $268 million which is shown in the Draft Estimates. In short, we have come within $4 million of balancing the budget. The Development Estimates are shown on pages 431 to 459 in the volume of Draft Estimates. It will be noted that, in framing the Development Estimates, provision has only been made for the completion of work which will be in hand at the end of this year, for a few services of a recurring nature, for one or two new projects which are regarded of such importance that they must go on, and for an entirely new project, unemployment relief works. Estimated expenditure on these services amounts to $42 million and it will be financed by a contribution of $20 million from revenue, by the repayment instalments of long term loans due in 1959, by a small contribution from C.D.W. fund for the completion of schemes in progress, and by further appropriation of $18.5 million from surplus funds. The reasons which have persuaded the Government to prepare development estimates of this comparatively limited scope are three-fold. In the first place, the Draft Estimates as now drawn up represent the limit of what can be financed with safety and certainty in 1959. In the second place, from now on we shall have to rely to a great extent on loans to finance development and it is impossible to say at this juncture with any degree of certainty - certainly not that degree of certainty which would justify entering into specific expenditure commitments - when we shall be able to float a loan, what amount we shall obtain, and at what rate subscriptions will come in. In the third place, it is considered only fair that the hands of the incoming Government should not be tied in advance but that it should be given a reasonably clear field to implement its own ideas in respect of new works, within the limits of funds likely to be available. With regard to the first reason, this is really a question of the extent to which we can make further calls on reserves to finance development. It would be dangerous to allow our reserves to be run down too far. We must safeguard ourselves against the financial consequences of a severe recession in trade; we must retain enough to finance public works as a measure of unemployment relief in time of depression; we must be able to meet all unforeseen contingencies; and we must at all times have sufficient to serve as a revenue and expenditure equalisation reserve. I should not like to see our general revenue balance reduced much below $65 million at the present time. Our general revenue balance at the end of 1958 should be of the order of $83 million and we can perhaps afford to make a further and final allocation of $18 million from reserves to development. This allocation, in addition to an allocation from revenue of $20 million and sums resulting from the payment of loans, will enable us to finance with safety and certainty the programme outlined in the Draft Estimates in 1959. With regard to the second reason, namely the fact that development will in the future have to rely to a great extent on loan finance and that the prospects of loan floatation in the future are uncertain, there are a number of points on which I should like to touch. In the first place, the question of reliance on loan finance in the future. Over the past four years, we have spent an average of $55 million a year on development. It has been spent on essential development - on housing on which $56 million has been spent in providing 9,000 living units, on schools of which we have provided 68 primary and secondary schools, on medical facilities, on communications and rural development. Part of this expenditure has been met from substantial annual contributions from revenue and the balance has been met from reserves which have accumulated as a result of the prosperity which Singapore has experienced since the war. It seems likely that the demands of Singapore for development will continue on much the same scale. One does not have to look beyond the growth of population for the reason. It is hoped - indeed it is essential - that it will continue to be possible to finance a substantial part of development from revenue. But this will only go a part of the way to meet the total bill. The greater part will have to be financed from loans. And the total available from all sources will not meet all demands. There will have to be a strict planning of priorities. Now as regards the raising of loans, it must be confessed that the prospects seem to be becoming less and less bright. Looking back over the years since the war, Singapore has had a quite astonishing record as far as loan floatation is concerned. In 1946, the Government raised a $50 million rehabilitation loan. Since that date, the City Council, excluding the present loan, has raised 7 loans totalling $220 million in all. I doubt if any territory of comparable size has anything like this record. It speaks volumes for the prosperity and stability of Singapore and for the external reputation of the business acumen of its citizens and the soundness of its administration. But the fact of the matter is that it has become increasingly difficult to float loans over the past four years. In the first place, in a period of general inflation, there is an increasing reluctance to tie up large sums in long term low interest bearing loans. Secondly, money has become increasingly tighter and the banks and other bodies which subscribed handsomely to loans in the past have no longer the same resources to do so. Thirdly, a large number of the private provident funds which invested in Government and City Council loans in the past have been wound up or reduced in scope. Fourthly, there is the disability of the lack of an active local market for Government and City Council stocks. Lastly, with so much political change and uncertainty in the air, investors are unwilling to commit large sums until they see how things are going to develop. The net result is that, at the present time, with one or two notable exceptions, the Central Provident Fund is practically the sole contributor to local loans. In short, the prospects of raising loans are not particularly bright at the moment. Nor do I think that they will improve until uncertainty is removed from the political scene and investors are satisfied that the attitude and policies of the Government in power in the future are likely to be such that the investment of large sums on long term is safe. In short, one cannot say with any degree of certainty how much it will be possible to raise by way of loan in 1959 and 1960. In these circumstances, the Government is not unnaturally reluctant to enter into any commitments which would have to be met from loans until it is clearer just how much can actually be expected, and when and at what rate the funds are likely to become available. At the same time, there are certain factors about the immediate future which perhaps alleviate the gloom which I may possibly have spread. I think that the Central Provident Fund can be counted upon to support a Government loan, Secondly, the 1940 War Loan is due for redemption in October, 1959 and, if suitable terms are offered, it may be possible to persuade holders of this stock to convert into a new loan. In this connection, consideration might possibly be given to a conversion issue on the lines of the recent Australian conversion issue. Thirdly, I think that it is probable that, if the revision of the existing Currency Agreement between the Federation, the Borneo and the Singapore Governments at present under discussion goes through, the Currency Board may be prepared to invest a certain percentage of the Currency Fund in a Singapore Government loan, taking care of course that adequate backing for the currency is maintained. But these are all to a certain extent uncertain factors. Whether they materialise or not will depend to a large extent on the political climate, and on the acts as distinct from the protestations of the Government in power at the time. Lastly it is considered desirable to give the incoming Government as clear a field as possible in the field of new development and not to tie its hands more than necessary with heavy commitments from the past. Development projects are costly and even a small number of them demand large sums over a comparatively long period. It is probable that the funds available for development in the future will be more limited than in the past. It will be necessary to assess priorities and plan expenditure with great care. Thoughts may change about the emphasis which should be placed on the different branches of development and about the standards which should be achieved. The development estimates, drawn up with the limited scope the reason for which I have described, provide for expenditure of $42 million of which $20.8 million is Special Development expenditure and $21.2 million Public Works Non Recurrent expenditure. This expenditure compares with actual expenditure of $48 million in 1955, $50 million in 1956, $62 million in 1957 and an estimated $62 million in 1958. As I said earlier, provision is made in the main for completion of work actually in hand at the end of the year. $700,000 is provided for the completion of schemes for quarters for the Police now in hand principally at Duxton Plain. $1.4 million has been provided for the Reformative Training Centre or Borstal institution at Changi which will meet a pressing need. $7 million has been provided for the further implementation of schemes under Programmes 6, 7 and 8 by the Singapore Improvement Trust, and $340,000 has been provided for a Malay Resettlement Housing Scheme, the details of which the Minister will, I am sure, be happy to describe. $2.2 million has been provided for the continuation of work in hand in the rural areas. The provision compares with actual expenditure of $2.8 million in 1956, $3.8 million in 1957 and estimated expenditure of $3.6 million 1958. A total of $8.2 million has been provided for Education. Of this $2.5 million refers to special expenditure and $5.3 million to capital works. Capital grants to schools have been limited to revotes of sums voted in 1958 but not taken up. $4.4 million has been provided for the construction of primary and secondary schools in completion of programmes now in hand. $1.4 million has been provided for the Raffles National Library which will be completed in 1960. Under Medical, the first half of a contribution of $850,000 is made for the construction of a Hospital at Mt. Alvernia by the Franciscan Missionaries of the Divine Motherhood. In addition to providing additional hospital accommodation, this will provide much needed training facilities for nurses. $5 million is provided for the completion of capital works in hospitals. Under Civil Aviation, $800,000 is provided for work on the operational building at the airport which will be completed in 1960 and $1.6 million for further work on the airport itself. $2 million is provided for further expansion of the revenue producing telecommunications services. $3.3 million is provided under P.W.N.R. (General) of which over $1 million refers to flood relief measures and $1.5 million for unemployment relief works, which will take the form of road development in rural areas and the necessary extension of the Airport runway to cater for jet aircraft. As I have said, expenditure on works and buildings is estimated at $21.2 million which compares with expenditure of $21 million in 1955, $22 million in 1956, $21 million in 1957 and an estimated $21.4 million in 1958. It should be sufficient to keep contractors and their labour employed at least until a supplementary programme is drawn up. Under Special Expenditure, $7 million is provided for further work by the Singapore Improvement Trust compared with an expenditure of $8 million in 1955, $9 million in 1956, $18 million in 1957 and an estimated $21 million in 1958. Housing must have a high priority in whatever development plans are implemented in the future, and the next Government will no doubt give consideration to this matter as soon as possible after it comes to power. At the same time, it is thought that it will have to be accepted that, in future, fewer housing units can be built each year than in the recent past. The fact of the matter is that, having regard to the competing claims of schools, hospitals, clinics and other similar works and to the amount of money likely to be available for them, it will not be possible to make as much money available for housing as it has been in the past. I do not think that anybody could reasonably expect that expenditure on housing should be maintained at the average of $20 million of the past two years. A more likely figure is perhaps $10 million which is nearer the average of the years preceding 1957 and 1958. It may be said that the answer is to reduce standards, that in the past we have built too well. But I beg leave to doubt if very much can be achieved in this direction. I think that it will be generally agreed that Singapore improvement Trust costs are as low as they can possibly be for the type of accommodation which is produced. Something can possibly be achieved in the direction of one-room flatlets - a development of the Hongkong idea. The Government has been working on this complicated problem for some time. Again, something may be achieved by decentralising housing and building more in rural areas where land is cheaper and semi-permanent accommodation can be built with less objection. This is also a problem on which the Government has been working but it also has difficulties of its own. Something may be achieved in these directions to make the funds available go further in terms of housing units but it is doubtful if it can be substantial. In short, unless the amount of loan money obtained in the future exceeds expectations, we must reconcile ourselves to a more restricted housing programme than has been achieved in the past. On the other hand, we can congratulate ourselves that we have been able to build so many units of such good quality as we have done in the past. It may possibly be suggested that this limited development programme will lead to a hiatus in development, that plans will not be ready when a loan has been successfully floated and the new Government wishes to go ahead. This is not the case. Plans now exist, or are in course of preparation, for a large number of the items to which the present Government attached a high priority and which have hitherto appeared in the Estimates with a token vote awaiting their turn to be brought forward. Planning will continue and, in so far as the new Government wishes to proceed with projects of its predecessor, there should be no delay. Similarly, the Singapore Improvement Trust can go ahead when given the word to the limit of the funds which the Government considers can be made available for housing in the future. As far as volume of work and employment is concerned, I think that the Draft Estimates provide enough to keep the building and allied trades going for a considerable time. Overall, in terms of dollars and on the basis of past performance, we are providing in this limited development budget for at least two-thirds of what has in the past been a normal year's expenditure, and this should keep the various branches of the building industry going until the new Government has had an opportunity to frame its supplementary development budget in the light of its declared policies and the funds likely to be available. Finally, I should like to take this opportunity to review the record of the Government in the financial field. When the Government assumed office in 1955, it inherited a financial position which was very sound. The public debt was small. Reserves were substantial. The out-turn for each year had shown a substantial surplus. At the same time, the future presented certain problems. Expenditure, particularly on the social services, was mounting and revenue had to be increased to meet it. Expenditure had to be kept under strict control. Care had to be taken that accumulated reserves were not squandered in the implementation of development plans. These problems have all been successfully solved. Revenue has been increased. Expenditure has been kept under control. Accumulated funds have been used to best advantage. Now, on the eve of the end of its term of office, the position is still very sound. The public debt remains unchanged and adequate provision continues to be made for its redemption. Basic reserves are adequate. The budget has been virtually balanced. A great deal has been achieved in the way of development. Security and confidence in Singapore as one of the main trading centres of the world have been maintained. During its period of office, the Government has increased revenue from a total of $207 million in 1954 to an estimated total of $264 million in 1959, an increase of 27 per cent. Company tax, income tax, estate duty, customs duties on tobacco, liquors and petrol, stamp duty, totalisator duty, driving licence fees and initial registration fees on cars have all been increased, and other measures have been introduced. The increases have been achieved within the pattern of taxation to which the population has been accustomed. Nothing has been done to upset the economy of Singapore. The incidence of taxation has been in strict proportion to capacity to pay and no hardship has been caused to anyone. The increases have not been uniformly popular. It was not expected that they would be. But the Government has not been concerned with popularity in these matters. It has merely done what was required to make income meet expenditure. Expenditure has increased, particularly in the social services. It has risen from a total of $197 million in 1954 to an estimated total of $264 million in 1959. Expenditure on Education has risen from $30 million in 1954 to an estimate of $63 million in 1959. Expenditure on Medical and Health has risen from $20 million in 1954 to an estimate of $34 million in 1959. Expenditure on Social Welfare has risen from $7 million to $11 million over the same period. But expenditure has always been kept under strict control. It has never been allowed to get out of hand. The pressures which were inevitable on the first elected government to spend lavishly on vote-catching projects have always been strenuously resisted. Provision has been made for services which were regarded as essential. Extravagance and waste have been rigidly suppressed. As a result of these measures, the Government has been able to pay its way. Now, at the end of its term of office, it has managed to present a budget which comes within $4 million of being balanced. This, I think, is a most notable achievement in every respect. A balanced budget is essential for financial viability and the maintenance of confidence in Singapore as a major trading centre. In the field of development, the achievements of the Government have been equally impressive. In all, $223 million has been spent on development, including $56 million on housing and $85 million on other works and buildings. In the field of public housing, over 9,000 units and 300 shops will have been built within the lifetime of the Government, out of a total of just over 20,000. In the field of Education, the Polytechnic has been completed and will provide advanced technical education for 4,000 students. 59 primary and 9 secondary schools have been built. The total school population has increased by 66 per cent during the lifetime of the government and there are now over 300.000 pupils in all categories of schools. A new Teachers Training College has been built and training facilities, particularly for vernacular school teachers, have been greatly increased. In 1958, 2,300 teachers were in training compared with 1,760 in 1954. In the Medical field, considerable additions and improvements have been made to hospitals, and bed accommodation has risen from 4,500 in 1954 to 6,500 in 1958, an increase of 44 per cent. In the near future, the new hospital for the chronic sick and further accommodation at Kandang Kerbau will be opened, and a further 525 beds will be available, making a total increase of 55 per cent. Outpatient Departments have increased from 4 to 14 and 6 more will be opened in 1959. The number of Maternity and Child Welfare Clinics has risen from 44 to 60. In the field of communications generally, the International Airport is in operation, the Merdeka Bridge and Nicoll Highway have been completed, 9 miles of dual carriage-way in the Bukit Timah road have been finished. 35 miles of other metalled roads have been brought into use, and 80 miles of earth roads in rural areas have been constructed in the last year. 6 new post offices and 22 new postal agencies have been opened and 84 new letter boxes have been installed. Some $12 million has been spent on rural development over the past 4 years. Remarkable progress has been made in the sphere of animal husbandry. Based on the new stations at Lim Chu Kang and Sembawang, teams of veterinary and agricultural officers have brought extension services to the kampongs. As a result, the pig population has been increased from 287,000 in 1954 to 450,000 in 1958, and the poultry population from 5 million to about 24 million over the same period. In 1958, 6 million chickens were inoculated against disease. In the field of industrial development, an Industrial Promotions Board has been established, legislation giving tax relief to selected industries is in the process of being introduced, arrangements are being made for the protection of selected industries, and a "Buy Singapore" campaign is about to be started. A Tourist Promotion Bureau has been established. Negotiations are at present in progress with the Governments of the Federation of Malaya, Sarawak, North Borneo and Brunei for a revision of the existing Currency Agreement which, if successful, will maintain the Currency Commission in being and the Malayan dollar in circulation for a period of years, and enable the Currency Commission to invest a portion of the Currency Fund in local government stocks. Such is the record of the present Government in the financial field. It is one of which a first elected government in any country might well be proud. It is the outcome of the courage, moderation, and commonsense which have been the outstanding characteristics of the elected Members of the Government with whom it has been the privilege of ex-officio Members to be associated. The incoming government will continue to face many problems in the financial and economic field. These problems will require for their solution statesmanship, an appreciation of the importance of issues wider than local party politics, and a realisation of the need to maintain confidence, internally and externally, in Singapore as a centre of finance, shipping, communications and trade of international importance. The main problem will be to reach an understanding with the Government of the Federation of Malaya in the field of monetary, fiscal and economic policy. Fortunately, the wisdom and farsightedness of the Government of the Federation in agreeing to remain a party to the existing Currency Agreement, subject to certain amendments which should present no difficulties to the other parties, and to continue to use the existing Malayan dollar for the time being, has given us a period of grace in which to reach agreement on these matters. For agreement there must be. In my humble opinion, while an integrated Pan-Malayan economy would be to the incalculable advantage of both territories, Singapore has no satisfactory future unless she is associated in the closest possible way fiscally, financially and economically with the Federation. All possible efforts must be directed over the next two or three years to achieving this association. Another problem will be to raise revenue to meet mounting expenditure. I do not say that the measures which the Government have introduced have exhausted the taxation potential of Singapore. But they have gone a considerable way towards doing so, and the new Government will be considerably exercised to find means of taxation which will not weigh penally on any particular section of the community or business interests in Singapore, which will not harm the economy, and which at the same time will fit into the Pan-Malayan fiscal scheme which it must be its aim to achieve. Mounting expenditure on the social services, particularly education, will be a major problem facing the new Government. Each year 50,000 children demand education in primary schools. This demand requires more schools, more equipment, and more teachers. In addition, there are heavy and increasing commitments in the field of higher education. Statistics for the past four years suggest that the recurrent cost of education will increase by at least $10 million a year, and possibly more, in the future. Having regard to the difficulties of raising revenue, to the fact that recurrent expenditure on other services will inevitably increase, it will clearly be difficult, if not impossible, to meet a bill for education of this magnitude. It is clear that means will have to be found to reduce it. Another major problem will be the question of planning development in the years to come. I have already touched on the difficulties which are likely to be experienced in raising loans in the future and on the need to pursue policies, not only in the central but also in the local government which will commend themselves to would-be investors. I have also at various times stressed the necessity of continuing to make substantial annual contributions from revenue to development. At the same time, even allowing for the creation of the most favourable climate for investment and for the most substantial contributions from the revenues of all interested authorities, it seems more than probable that demands for development expenditure by central and local government authorities will far outstrip the capacity of these authorities to raise funds, that development will have to be planned on an island-wide basis with the strictest regard for priorities, and that development expenditure in the future will have to be on a greatly reduced scale compared with what it has been in the past decade. This will not be an easy task. Each claimant for funds, whether it be the Minister for Housing in respect of public housing, or the Minister for Education in respect of schools or higher educational facilities, or the Minister for Health in respect of hospital beds and clinics, or the City Electrical Engineer in respect of power or light, or the Health authorities in respect of sewage, will consider that his claim is more important than all the others. It will be an exceedingly difficult task to allocate priorities amongst the various claimants and to draw up plans for some years ahead in the light of the funds likely to be available. The task of deciding priorities and how much should be devoted to each priority and over what period is a matter for the Government after consultation with the various interests concerned; but it is a matter which will demand the greatest goodwill and co-operation in the interests of Singapore, and will call for knowledge and ability of the highest order on the part of the planning authorities. It is a task which will have to be started as soon as possible. A certain amount of ground work has been done but progress has been held up by the lack of suitably qualified and experienced staff with the necessary time at its disposal. At the same time, difficult though they undoubtedly are, I do not think that any of these problems are insoluble. Given goodwill, wisdom, commonsense and an appreciation of the broader issues involved, I am sure that the Government which comes into power after the next election will find solutions. Lastly, I should like to pay a tribute to the Treasury officials who have prepared this budget for 1959. They have worked with exceptional diligence for very long hours over a very difficult task and I owe them a deep debt of gratitude. Sir, I beg to move, "That the Bill be now read a Second time." 11.45 a.m.