ESTIMATES OF EXPENDITURE FOR THE FINANCIAL - YEAR 1ST APRIL, 1998 TO 31ST MARCH, 1999 - (Paper Cmd. 3 of 1998)
Sir, I wish to thank all the Members who have spoken for their valuable suggestions and views. I wish to assure them that my Ministry will give their views utmost consideration. I was told that we are well ahead of time. So the answers to be given by myself and my colleagues in the Ministry will be somewhat longer than usual. I hope Members will bear with us. I can assure you that that is not our usual style of answering questions in Parliament. First, on the topic of cost of doing business. Several Members have spoken about this topic and they have made impassioned pleas for Government to do more to reduce the cost of doing business. The signals have come across loud and clear, and I can assure you that we are monitoring the situation very carefully. Unlike what Dr Lee Tsao Yuan said that we might be caught flat-footed, I can assure her that we, in fact, have a number of indicators, and should there be a downturn, I think we would be able to spot the downturn fairly quickly. We are not just depending on the quarterly statistics. In fact, we have preliminary statistics, then we have actual statistics as the trade figures come in, and so on. So that is the reason why we feel that if the need arises we will be able to adjust very fast; sometimes, maybe too fast, because the Government is able to decide very quickly on various measures. First, as Mrs Lim Hwee Hua pointed out, it is instructive to look at the composition of business costs in Singapore. The largest component is wages. In Singapore, remuneration accounts for about 35% of total business costs. This is a key component to moderate for Singapore to stay competitive. For the manufacturing sector, rentals account for only about 3% of business costs, while Government taxes and fees account for about 2%. The corresponding figures for the services sector are about 9% and 7% respectively, 9% for rentals and 7% for Government taxes and fees, as compared to 3% and 2% for the manufacturing sector. If you compare this with Hong Kong, remuneration accounts for about 60% of business costs in Hong Kong (Hong Kong's manufacturing sector), while rentals account for another 8%. Hence, compared with Hong Kong, our remuneration share of business costs is about 60% of Hong Kong's share, while our rental share of business costs is only about half. This is for purpose of comparison. Of course, it depends on the structure of the economy, the kind of industry they have, and so on. In Hong Kong, the manufacturing sector has mostly moved to China and even in the past, the manufacturing sector tended to be rather labour-intensive, electronics, garments, toys, and so on. So, therefore, their labour cost component will tend to be higher. Similarly, now with the move towards more of the service sector, the cost component again is mainly manpower as well as rentals. So in the case of Hong Kong, rentals are an important factor, more important than in Singapore. With the pegging of the Hong Kong dollar to the US dollar which has been maintained so far, and also with the high cost in Hong Kong, which used to be higher than Singapore, I think they are fearful of losing their competitive edge. And that is one reason why they came out with such a strong plethora of concessions for the economy. In our case, we have been watching costs very carefully and we are not quite in the same situation. In fact, I think we are very different. And also our currency has depreciated by about 15% versus the US dollar. With rising productivity, labour costs have moderated in Singapore in recent years. The Unit Labour Cost (ULC) index of the overall economy rose by 1.1% in 1997, slower than the 4% in 1996, and 3.3% over the 1990 to 1995 period. The ULC of the manufacturing sector registered flat growth in 1997. There are several reasons for this. One, of course, is that the NWC has been recommending flexi-wages and keeping the wages under control. The Government has also been more flexible in allowing in more workers, both work permit holders as well as employment pass holders. So these have helped to check the labour cost situation. It is also one reason why we have such a big number of foreign workers in Singapore now. I think Dr Richard Hu mentioned a figure of more than 450,000. So this would be a good buffer for us in terms of employment, in case there is a severe downturn and some workers will lose their jobs. In that situation, of course, we have to retrench the least productive worker first, but at the same time there will be openings created, and if the Ministry of Labour, by then Ministry of Manpower, could be more careful in issuing work permits, this will provide more job openings for Singaporeans. Of course, they will have to be prepared to be flexible and not insist on the old salaries or the same kind of jobs, but jobs there will be. And our projection so far is that we do not see a severe retrenchment or unemployment. In fact, in the recent situation when Seagate retrenched some workers, I was given to understand that some of the workers were very happy. They collected the retrenchment benefits on one hand, and they got new jobs very soon thereafter. And the ones who were unhappy were, in fact, the ones who were not retrenched. So it is quite an unusual situation that we have in Singapore, despite the crisis that we are going through. To help businesses to control costs, we have to pay careful attention to the following: 3.45 pm Firstly, wage costs. The National Wages Council will be meeting soon to deliberate on wage guidelines for the year. Over the years, we have built up the annual variable components of salaries to provide for the eventuality that wage costs may have to be cut in a recession. Now we are not yet in a recession. I hope we will not be. But when the NWC meets and before it concludes its deliberations by late June, I think the economic situation will be clearer and I hope the NWC will be able to look at the different sectors, the impact, the total situation, and come out with guidelines to help us overcome this problem. On its part, the Government will also be reducing the levies for skilled foreign workers in the manufacturing, marine, construction and service sectors from $200 per month to $100 with effect from next month. This is for skilled workers. So the intention is to lower cost and also make it more advantageous for employers to recruit skilled workers and also for them to train the workers and upgrade their skills. So the orientation is towards that area. The second important factor is of course rentals, and many Members have spoken about this. I would like to inform Members that in July last year, after JTC did its annual review, half of JTC's estates enjoyed a drop in posted rents, while the rest have their posted rents frozen. Many of JTC's lessees are paying rents that are well below market rates. The reason for this is that there has been a cap of 7�% on the extent to which they can raise their rents yearly. So as the property market shot up over recent years and the rises were very sharp, JTC was prevented from going up so fast by the cap. So in fact, many of the companies are enjoying rentals which may be less than 50% of the posted rents, and even the posted rents tend to be lower than the market rents. JTC does surveys of the market and they peg the posted rent and the tendency has been to peg it much lower than the market rate. As mentioned in the Budget speech, JTC and HDB will be extending rental concessions to their tenants and lessees. The Government will also be giving a 15% property tax rebate for commercial and industrial properties. The third factor concerns Government rates and fees. In this area, the rate of increase has moderated since 1995. The Unit Business Cost Index of the manufacturing sector shows that the Government rates and fees actually fell by 1.8% in 1997 as against a growth of 5.1% in 1996. In any case, the fees are quite a small component of cost and in recent years, in fact, it has fallen. But we should not be complacent. We should continue to watch. And with Members' comments, it will in fact make it easier for MTI to press the other people to keep costs down. At this point, we do not see a need to further reduce JTC rentals substantially. Any fall in market rents will be taken into account at JTC's annual review of posted rents in May or June. If the posted rents are reduced at the next annual review, new lessees and tenants will benefit from these lower rates. The rents for existing lessees and tenants will also be adjusted downwards accordingly when the current rates are due for their annual review. This point may be a bit confusing because Government has said in the Budget speech that we are going to freeze the posted rent and we are going to moderate the increases for those who are far below the posted rent. In fact, with the freezing, something like 70% of the tenants will not have any rental increase, even based on the current posted rates. The others will have some increase but this will be kept at certain levels. JTC will be announcing the details soon. But the point I was just making is that in addition to that, JTC also does an annual review in May or June and if at that time it is clear that the market rates are below posted rates, then JTC will adjust its posted rentals down further. So if we freeze rentals, it means they cannot go up but can come down, depending on the market situation. So maybe this is a bit of good news for the manufacturers and other businesses, that we are capping rentals, but there is a possibility of a downward adjustment. The adjustment, if it comes, will of course depend on the market situation. At the same time, Government should refrain from introducing unnecessary rules and regulations that will increase the cost of doing business. If the economic situation worsens, the Government is ready and prepared to implement further measures. We should remember, however, that business costs are only half of the competitiveness equation and will continue to reflect Singapore's basic resource constraints. While we continue to manage our costs, we must also focus on the capability factors and constantly upgrade the productivity of our workers and companies so as to sustain our economic competitiveness. This is the collective responsibility of the Government, the employers and the workers. Let me now turn to the point raised by Mr Tay Beng Chuan on whether we need to set up a Government charges and levies review committee to coordinate and review these charges and levies to ensure Singapore's competitiveness in the region. I would like to inform him that there is already a mechanism in place to ensure that major fee hikes are coordinated since all such increases require the Cabinet's approval. It is also Government's practice to fully explain the rationale behind any major fee increase. The Government has done so on all occasions when fees have been increased. My Ministry also monitors the impact of such increases on both the Consumer Price Index and the Unit Business Cost Index to ensure that Singapore remains competitive overall. Mr Leong Horn Kee and Mr Inderjit Singh spoke on the question of PSA charges and said that the charges have increased three times in the last two years. I presume they meant three occasions. I was told that this is not quite right. The last tariff revision was done in January 1996 and there has not been any revision since then. So I do not know whether there has been some misinformation. Nevertheless, MPA and PSA Corporation are keenly aware of the need for Singapore to keep its port tariffs competitive. The Marine and Port Authority (MPA) reduced port dues for container ships by 20% in May 1996. Further, PSA Corporation negotiates on a case-by-case basis to grant rebates for terminal handling and towage charges to its customers. So I can assure Members that PSA will remain responsive and make sure that they are competitive in terms of their rates. Mr Choo Wee Khiang and Mr Inderjit Singh made some points on the question of subletting of JTC space in situations where there has been a business downturn and there is extra space available. I can assure them that JTC is flexible in this area. JTC did a review of its subletting policy in August last year as part of IP 21 and has decided that lessees of JTC land and ready-built factories are now allowed to sublet up to 30% of their space for the first five years of their lease or the first three years for factory lessees and up to 50% thereafter. They can sublet up to 70% if the sub-tenants are related companies. As JTC tenants are on relatively short terms of typically three years, they may also prematurely terminate their tenancies at any time if their space requirements have changed. JTC recognises that some tenants may find themselves in genuine difficulties and is prepared to consider their special requests for subletting. I think I must say that Mr Choo was a bit unfair when he said that JTC is inflexible. I think it is far from the case. They have in fact been very flexible and even before the latest moves by the Government as announced in the Budget, they have on their own been adjusting their rates down. So I think we should give due credit to JTC. As for Mr David Lim's point that current HDB and JTC rules make it difficult for businesses to streamline their operations by swapping premises, JTC does allow requests for swapping of units by existing tenants. The swap will have to be mutually agreeable and the usage compatible with the adjoining users and consistent with the existing JTC guidelines. JTC is also prepared to consider not imposing a rental adjustment upon a swap for bona fide cases with valid reasons, such as for purposes of business consolidation. As for HDB premises, I will refer Mr David Lim's suggestion to HDB for consideration. On Mr Inderjit Singh's suggestion to help start-up manufacturing companies with preferential land pricing, he may wish to note that there are already several existing schemes which assist start-ups in various aspects of their businesses. JTC is planning to introduce as part of the local enterprise programme a plan to help start-up companies which are engaged in higher valued-added manufacturing activities. More details will be announced in a few months' time. I think I have covered most aspects on this topic of cost of doing business. Next, I would like to move on to the topic of regionalisation. I am very happy to note that all the speakers who spoke on this issue made the comment that we should not let the current temporary setback divert our attention from the longer term goal and it is imperative for us to go regional, in fact, global. This is one of the strategic thrusts recommended by the Competitiveness Committee which I am chairing, that in our Singapore context, because of our resource constraints, or land, labour, and so on, it is unavoidable that we must move offshore. As we do so, we try and retain the linkages between these offshore operations and the Singapore operations so that in the process, we are able to push ourselves upward and be in a position where we manage the operations, ie, we do the designing work, research, higher value manufacturing, services and so on, and harness the resources in the region. So this is something that we will continue to do. Whilst the present situation presents opportunities for us to invest overseas, of course, we have to do so with great care because the situation in neighbouring countries is still rather unclear. We do not know whether there are any hidden losses in some of the books, and what is going to happen. It is time for companies with the cash reserves to look around and see how they can tap into the region and establish useful linkages in the region. But, as I said, they must do so with care because if something happens, there will be no government to bail them out. That is the basic policy of the Government. You go in, you go for your profits, but if things turn bad, hard luck. If things turn out well, very good, please invest more. Dr Lee Tsao Yuan made some comments about having GDP plus and whether we can develop better indicators to help us assess the extent of our regionalisation efforts and its contributions to our economy. I think the points are well taken. In fact, I think this is one area where she may give me some lessons on the different components of GDP and GDP plus, and so on. But I have some data here that may reassure her on this aspect. Our approach to regionalisation is to build an external economy which is strongly linked and beneficial to the domestic economy in a way that strengthens Singapore's role as a business hub without hollowing it out. Thus, even as factor income from abroad has increased from 1993 to 1996, the contribution of foreign operations to value-added in the Singapore economy fell from 12% to 11%. In other words, the domestic economy continues to grow and, in fact, grew faster even as we developed the second wing. That is why the contribution from the external factor is, in fact, less than before. It has gone down from 12% to 11%, even as we invested more and more overseas. I see Dr Lee shaking her head. Maybe I have to go to her for the lesson! Moreover, our export of business and professional services has expanded due to regionalisation. It almost doubled between 1993 and 1996 to reach $2.45 billion. This is the export of business and professional services. A linkages indicator which measures the percentage of sales of overseas manufacturing affiliates which were channelled back to Singapore shows a high of 20% or $4.7 billion. This is indicative of the extent of linkages between the parent companies and their overseas affiliates. To promote regionalisation, Government has put in place a number of incentive schemes and bilateral mechanisms to assist our businessmen. In encouraging businessmen to go regional, we must never mislead our companies to go beyond what is commercially prudent. Whilst there are opportunities to reap rewards, companies must weigh the risks as well. Some Members have stated during the main Budget debate that we do not allow losses from overseas ventures to be offset against Singapore taxes. In fact, the Minister for Finance explained clearly why this has been the case. But here, I would like to point out that when local companies go overseas, they can, in fact, apply for what is known as the Overseas Investment Incentive Scheme. This scheme allows companies to offset the capital losses arising from the liquidation of approved overseas investments against the company's other taxable income. Before they invest, if they apply to EDB for this incentive and if EDB approves it, then they have this insurance that in case they have to liquidate the companies and there are losses suffered, those losses can be brought back and offset against local taxable income. Mr Inderjit Singh has suggested that tax rebates should be provided for families to defray the higher cost of children's education overseas. As explained before, there are various schemes to help companies in their drive and there are also various tax incentives. But tax concessions for individuals may not be effective, since these individuals are unlikely to pay any taxes in Singapore. If the employees have to go overseas and they pay more for the overseas schools, very often, it is the employer who is bearing the cost. So if any help is provided, maybe it is to the employer that we should be giving the help. With regard to Singaporeans counting their period of absence overseas into the minimum occupational period of HDB flats, MND has informed my Ministry that they have already made provision for this. Those posted overseas on official duties are allowed to include the period of subletting their flats in the computation of the minimum occupation period, subject to a maximum of three years for direct purchase flats and one and a half years for resale flats. I hope the Minister for National Development can confirm this when his turn is due to discuss the budget. Mr Inderjit Singh and Mr Leong Horn Kee have inquired about the impact of the Indonesian economic problems on Singapore. The events in Indonesia will have an impact on the entire region. Singapore will not be an exception. However, we should not speculate on a possible collapse of the Indonesian economy. Many countries including the US, Japan, Australia and ourselves have been discussing measures to help Indonesia towards economic recovery. Much of our trade with Indonesia is in the form of intermediate goods as part of the regional supply chain for final products for OECD markets. Similarly, a significant portion of our investments in Indonesia are manufacturing investments situated in the Riau islands linked to plants in Singapore which supply products to countries like the US and the EU. In the financial sector, the House was informed recently that as at 31st December 1997, the exposure of the six local banking groups to Indonesia was S$5.4 billion, representing only 2.3% of their total assets. So while Singapore cannot remain unaffected by the Indonesian economic downturn, our global linkages and diversified economic structure will buffer us from any fall-out effects. Of course, we are hoping that the economy will recover and there will not be any serious setbacks. Next, I would like to turn to the topic of the Local Enterprise Financing Scheme (LEFS). Mr Inderjit Singh has expressed concern that the recent enhancement of the LEFS is insufficient to help local companies ride out the regional financial turmoil. I wish to emphasise that the LEFS is not intended to bail out sick companies but to support viable local enterprises. The lending decisions are made by the participating banks with the Government sharing part of the risks. The LEFS has been popular with smaller companies. As at January 1998, over 4,000 smaller SMEs, ie, those with less than 100 employees each, have benefited from the scheme. The coverage offered by the enhanced LEFS has now been extended so that SMEs with fixed assets up to $30 million or employing up to 300 people can also qualify. Government has increased its provision in LEFS loan lines from $760 million to $1.1 billion. With the Government's share of the risk for working capital and factory loans increased to 50% and the doubling of the limits for such loans, more assistance will be provided for our SMEs. It is not feasible to have an IMF-style bail out package for our companies which are caught in the regional financial turmoil. Whilst we sympathise with companies which are selling, for example, to the Indonesian market and now find that the market has practically disappeared in some cases, I think it is just not feasible for Government to come in and help in those situations. But if there are companies here which have viable operations and they have good export orders, and they also have good collateral here which can be used to pledge to banks, then it is up to the banks to decide whether to lend them money. And they can then perhaps use that money to finance the operations in, say, the Riau Islands. This is what is being done by multi-nationals. They treat their regional plants like cost centres, sub-contractors. So they do all the sales here. They do all the purchasing of parts and components here and they feed the regional plants. So they are able in that way to insure those plants and isolate those plants from the turmoil. If some of our local companies can do likewise, I am sure our banks can consider and where it is viable, they will provide them with the assistance. Mr Inderjit Singh also said something about whether banks, Government or whoever can guarantee the LCs issued by local businesses. This point is not very clear to me. The problem, for example, in some of the regional countries is that the banks which give guarantees for LCs are no longer acceptable. For example, maybe some banks in Korea may already be in serious trouble. So foreign lenders do not have any confidence in that bank and are not prepared to accept LCs from that bank for the purpose of selling them products. In our situation, our banks are very strong and there is no problem for them to issue LCs for the import of materials from overseas. So I am not quite clear what Mr Singh meant in this situation. Next, I would like to turn to the question of the small and medium enterprises (SMEs). As Mr Inderjit Singh has mentioned, there are some 60 schemes to help our SMEs. I also get confused with the large number of schemes. I can assure Members that the statutory boards, like EDB, PSB and so on, have been trying their best to help the small and medium enterprises, and they have come up with all these different ideas, incentives and what have you, to help our companies, to cater for their different needs. Maybe it is time now for us to have a relook and streamline the operations. Last year, when we debated this issue, there was this comment that we did not publish the booklet in other languages. The PSB has since done so and they are also in the process of trying to simplify the application procedures, to make the forms easier for everybody. The PSB has also set up its first-stop SME centre in the PSB building in April last year to facilitate and coordinate access to all schemes offered to SMEs. The centre serves as a focal point for guidance and advice to SMEs not familiar with the various upgrading schemes. If our SMEs have any problems, they can approach this first-stop centre and get assistance. Mr Singh also asked about tax deductibility for `Q' plate cars. On this issue, the Member may wish to note that the registration of `Q' plate cars will be discontinued under the new vehicle tax structure that has just been announced recently. All company cars registered after 1st September this year will be subject to the same taxes as for private cars. This is the information we have obtained from LTA. I hope this answers his point. Next, I turn to the points made by Mr Tay Beng Chuan. He commented about the Local Enterprise Technical Assistance Scheme (LETAS), whether the grant quantum could be increased from 70% to 90% of the allowable cost of engaging external consultants. On this point, I wish to inform him that, in fact, the PSB already allows 90%. For certain projects which benefit the industry as a whole, not on a company basis, but where it is a scheme or a study meant to benefit the whole industry group, the PSB does approve 90%. A good example of this is the recent relocation of small factories from Woodlands to make way for the wafer fabrication plants in Woodlands. These factories have all been moved to a new multi-storey flatted factory and, in the process, PSB has to come in and help them to lay out the factory, plan various things and so on. The funding for that was at 90% level. Mr Tay also asked whether we could give financial grants to trade associations to engage professionals. I would like to inform him that the Government does provide LETAS grants to the Singapore Chinese and Malay Chambers of Commerce and Industry to implement projects that upgrade their members' operations. PSB will continue to work with trade and industry associations on worthwhile projects that have industry-wide applications. On the suggestion that Government provides soft or matching loans to finance joint investment projects in ASEAN, the Nominated Member may wish to note that this is available under the Local Enterprise Regionalisation Finance Scheme for machinery loans. This scheme is administered by EDB and is meant to help our companies set up factories overseas. The loans are provided at I think low cost or low rates for them to set up factories and to buy machinery. 4.15 pm However, I want to reiterate that the granting of loans is a decision that is best left to banks to make on commercial grounds based on prudent assessment of risk and return. This is the best approach to avoid abuses or misallocation of resources. Several Members have spoken about the retail industry and the tourism industry. I am leaving them to be answered by Mr Tang Guan Seng. So please bear with me on this area. Mr Low Thia Khiang asked about the Regional Headquarters Scheme and whether the Ministry is satisfied with the progress made so far. He quoted a figure of 22 companies which have been granted the Regional Headquarters (RHQs) or Business Headquarters (BHQs) status and whether the incentives are enough in view of the recent slowdown. I wish to inform Mr Low that the scheme has in fact worked very well. Since the figure that he quoted in 1991, the number of RHQs has increased very significantly. I do not have the actual figures here, but I think it exceeds 100 companies now. The contribution to the economy runs into billions of dollars in terms of expenditure that they incur here. So it has been a very good scheme and the EDB will continue to promote the scheme. In fact, with the slowdown, it has indirectly led to more companies coming here for this purpose. When these companies pull out from the region, they still want to have a presence in Southeast Asia, and the natural place is Singapore. So we are in fact seeing some of that flow coming back. Contrary to the reports recently in some newspapers that we are losing people, we may be losing some of these expatriates in certain areas like banking, but we are getting a gain in other areas. Mr Low asked about the target. We do not have any targets, the more, the merrier. We have plenty of office space and this is a very good field. It helps us to control the operations in the region and they can source components here and engage in development work and so on. So it is a very desirable form of high level activity, for example, international trading. In fact, they are doing trading which does not pass through Singapore. All they need is a phone, some fax machines and some able staff, and, of course, plenty of good contacts overseas. Several Members have spoken about this important topic of training and retraining of our workers. I can assure Members that training has always been a top priority for us, together with education. Mr Chiam See Tong made the point that we only give lip service to training but where is the money. Here, may I just make the point that in fact SDF in a way is also like public funds because in the past, before we had SDF, in fact we had payroll tax. So payroll tax was in a way converted to SDF and subsequently it was increased to four percentage points and adjusted down to 1% now for workers who earn less than $1,000 per month. So he might like to look upon it as a kind of taxation which is directed towards training, the idea being that companies contribute to this fund based on the number of employees, and the more they train, the more they get their money back. This is to encourage and support them. In the same way, the Government's other revenues are mostly taxes. It comes from the whole economy. The Government itself does not generate this income.