Mr Speaker, Sir, Singapore is facing its gravest challenge since independence. As the regional crisis has deepened and spread, we have been drawn in. Our economy does not have the problems of the other countries in difficulty. Our banking system is sound. Our companies have not borrowed excessively, especially from abroad. Neither has the Government. Government finances are strong, with adequate reserves built up over many years. Nevertheless, the collapse of regional demand, and the change in the business climate has caused our economy to slow sharply, from 6.2% in the 1st Quarter 1998 to -0.7% in the 3rd Quarter 1998. We have now had two quarters of negative quarter-on-quarter growth, and are technically in recession. The Government implemented a $2 billion package of cost reduction measures in June. These were not intended as the final package. We could not take drastic measures, such as a CPF cut, lightly. We needed time to assess how events would develop and we used the time to develop the consensus necessary for stronger measures. Committee on Singapore's Competitiveness Through the Committee on Singapore's Competitiveness (CSC), the Government has over the last 18 months tapped a wide range of private sector views on ways to strengthen the economy. The CSC has recommended both long-term and short-term measures to improve Singapore's competitiveness. The long term measures are a comprehensive strategy for Singapore to invest in its human resources and infrastructure, to build up manufacturing and services, and to continue to grow and develop. The emphasis is on building new capabilities and new areas of business. The short term measures focus on reducing business costs, to help companies to survive the crisis, and to preserve jobs. The proposal is to reduce wage costs significantly, through a cut in the employer's CPF contribution rate and in flexi-wages, and also to reduce non-wage costs to make an overall package of $10 billion, or 7% of GDP. The Government accepts the CSC Report and the thrust of the CSC recommendations. They will not only help Singapore to overcome the present problems, but also lay the foundations for sustained growth. The CSC has made some 300 specific proposals. We will study them individually to decide how to implement each one. In some cases we have already acted, for example, with the recommendations to further develop the financial services sector, and the June package of off-budget measures. We will implement the long term measures progressively. However, the short term recommendations call for an immediate response. The Government has worked out a substantial cost reduction package covering the key elements of business costs, as proposed by the CSC. Wage Costs Let me begin with wages. Labour cost is a key component of business costs. The CSC has proposed that Singapore reduce overall wage costs by 15% from the 1997 level. This will bring our relative unit labour cost back to the position in 1994, and will substantially improve our international competitiveness. The CSC has recommended that part of this 15% should be achieved through a 10% point reduction in employer's CPF contribution rate, from 20% to 10%. This represents some 8% reduction in overall wage costs. The National Wages Council (NWC) has endorsed the CSC proposal, and recommended that wages be reduced by 5% to 8% from 1997 levels. Together with the 10% point CPF cut, this will be sufficient to achieve the target of 15% reduction in overall wage costs. The wage reduction should be implemented through the flexible wage system, ie, by cutting variable components of wages such as bonuses. The NWC urged employers to moderate the wage cut for lower income employees by implementing a proportionately deeper cut for the higher income executives. CPF Reduction The Government accepts the CSC's recommendation to reduce the employer's CPF contributions by 10% points. Of this, 6% points will come from the Ordinary Account, and 4% points will come from the Special Account. In effect, contributions to the Special Account will be suspended for the time being. For older workers whose CPF contribution rates are less than 40%, and for pensionable civil servants receiving partial CPF, the reduction in their employer's CPF contributions will be pro-rated. The CPF cut will take effect from 1st January 1999. It will remain in place for 2 years. Thereafter, the Government will review the situation. The Government agrees with the NWC that the rate of employer's contribution should be adjusted upwards when the economy recovers. The CPF cut will reduce costs by about $3.9 billion per year. Government Accepts NWC Recommendations The Government accepts all of the NWC's recommendations, including the recommendation to reduce wages by 5% to 8%. We urge companies to follow the NWC guidelines in their wage negotiations and decisions on bonuses. Companies which completed their wage negotiations earlier should review their plans if their previous assumptions about the economic environment are no longer valid. The 5% to 8% reduction in wages is estimated to cut costs by about $3.6 billion per year. NWC Award for Civil Servants As a major employer, the Government will take the lead in implementing the NWC's revised wage recommendations for civil servants. First, the Government will reduce the Annual Variable Component (AVC) to be paid in December. Last year, civil servants received two months of AVC: 3/4 month in July and 1 1/4 month in December. This year in July, the Government paid 1/2 month, a reduction of 1/4 month. In December, the Government will pay 1/4 month's AVC, which is one month less than last year. This means a total reduction of 1 1/4 months in AVC payment for the year. However, the usual Annual Wage Supplement or 13th month payment will be paid in full. For next year, the Government will decide on civil service annual variable payments after the NWC has published its proposals for 1999, which it usually does in May. Second, the Government will reduce the variable component of monthly salaries of officers in Division II and above. The cut will be in the Non-Pensionable Variable Payment (NPVP) that is paid monthly, and will be graduated. It will be 1% of monthly salaries for Division II officers, 2% for Division I timescale officers, 3% for Superscale officers, and 5% for Staff Grade officers. There will be no cut for junior staff at the Division III and IV levels and daily-rated employees. This reduction will take effect from 1st January 1999. These cuts in NPVP will be for one year, and will be reviewed at the end of 1999. Third, the Government will suspend the normal annual adjustments to salaries of Ministers and top civil servants for a second year in 1999. The Government had followed the private sector down in 1997 when the benchmark of private sector salaries had declined by 8%, but it did not follow back up this year when the benchmark rose by 13%. For next year, the benchmark for Staff Grade I has increased by 19%, and that for Superscale G by 12%. I do not believe these large increases reflect current conditions in the private sector. The mismatch arises because of the long time lag: the 1999 benchmark is based on private sector earnings in 1997, before Singapore felt the impact of the regional crisis. The Government will study ways to reduce this time lag, in order to make public sector salaries reflect private sector conditions in a more timely and responsive manner. All these measures will apply to both civil servants and political appointment holders. They will reduce the total civil service wage bill by $176 million, or 6.2%. The combined effect of reductions in monthly and annual variable salary components will result in higher level officers accepting steeper wage cuts than more junior officers, in line with the NWC's recommendation. In terms of annual pay, the cuts range from 5% for Division III and IV officers, to 10% for Staff Grade officers, including Ministers and this is separate from the CPF cuts, which naturally also apply to civil servants. Assistance Schemes For Mortgages The wage and CPF reductions will affect many Singaporeans who have committed to mortgages, especially those who planned to repay their mortgages out of their CPF contributions. The Ministry of Manpower and the Housing and Development Board have studied the problem. After the CPF cut, 18% of CPF members will have insufficient monthly CPF contributions to their Ordinary Account to pay for their housing instalments. But despite this, HDB has found that most HDB borrowers have been prudent, and have not over-extended themselves. They should have little problem continuing to service their loans as long as they remain employed. The recent falls in interest rates will help to cushion the impact of the CPF cut on borrowers. Singapore banks have also stated their willingness to help customers who face problems repaying their mortgage loans, for example, by rescheduling their loan repayments. Nevertheless, the Government will implement supporting measures to help Singaporeans cope with these difficulties, as we did in 1986. Use of CPF Special Account For CPF members whose reduced Ordinary Account contributions will now be insufficient to pay their mortgages, the Government will allow them to use the balances in their Special Accounts to meet the shortfall in repayment caused by the CPF cut. Bridging Loan Scheme The Government will also introduce a Bridging Loan Scheme for members who have depleted the savings in both their Ordinary and Special Accounts for their monthly repayments. The loan will be at a concessionary rate of the CPF interest rate plus 0.1%. The scheme will apply to private property mortgages, as well as HDB flat owners paying HDB market interest rates, ie, Credit POSB housing loan interest rates, for their mortgages. HDB Schemes Most HDB lessees are already paying the concessionary interest rate of the CPF rate plus 0.1% for their mortgages. The HDB will take several measures to help them. For example, they may include more working family members as joint owners, in order to draw upon their CPF monies. They can reduce their monthly instalments, lengthen the term of their mortgage loan, or defer mortgage payments. Those in arrears may pay the outstanding sum by instalments. HDB will also assist applicants taking possession of new flats who are affected. Taxes The Government will give substantial tax rebates as part of this package. Unlike in the previous recession in 1985, we are giving rebates rather than reducing the tax rates. This is because we have progressively and significantly reduced our major tax rates since 1985. For example, the corporate tax rate was 40% in 1985, but is now only 26%, close to our long-term target of 25%. The property tax rate was 23%, but is now only 12%. Our tax rates are now generally competitive internationally. No major changes are immediately necessary. The Government will go as far as possible to help businesses during this difficult period. However, any tax concessions to meet the present problem should be broadly consistent with our long term taxation policies, and should not erode the Government's tax base after the crisis has passed. Rebate on Corporate Tax To signal our commitment to help businesses, a corporate tax rebate of 10% will apply to corporate income for Year of Assessment 1999, excluding Singapore dividends. This will cost $450 million. Extension of Property Tax Rebate and Stamp Duty Exemption The June off-Budget measures included a 55% property tax rebate on commercial and industrial properties for the year commencing 1st July 1998. This 55% rebate will be extended by another year to 30th June 2000. HDB and JTC will pass the rebates on to their tenants and lessees. Landlords in the private sector are also urged to pass on the rebates. The exemption of property tax for land under development, which was announced in the FY98 Budget Statement, will also continue. These measures will cost the Government $680 million. The suspension of stamp duty on contract notes for share transactions, which started on 30th June 1998, will be extended for another year. This will cost the Government $70 million. GST Many MPs have asked for the GST rate to be reduced from 3%. However, this would be the wrong approach. First, a reduction of the GST rate to 2% or 1% would cost the Government a large amount of revenue. The GST was introduced in order to achieve a better balance between direct taxes like the corporate tax, and indirect taxes like GST. When GST was introduced, both corporate and personal income taxes were cut substantially. The overall package was revenue neutral; in fact, in the short term, revenue negative. The GST is therefore an integral part of our revenue structure, and not something optional which we can lightly give up. Second, from the economic point of view, the GST is a "good" tax. I know from the taxpayers' point of view, there is no such thing, but, economically, this is a good tax. It is a tax on consumption, not income. Its incidence is widely and evenly distributed across all types of economic activity. So for the same amount of revenue collected, the burden of the GST is felt less heavily than other taxes. It is better to give rebates on other taxes, such as property tax, which levy a higher rate on a narrower range of activities. Third, there is a comprehensive package of rebates for lower income households to offset the impact of the GST, which are still in effect. If our concern is the impact of the crisis on lower income households, then it is far more precise and effective to extend the GST offsets package, than to change the GST rate itself. The CSC did not recommend changing the GST rate. However, it did propose one minor refinement to our GST scheme. It observed that the current exemption limits on Goods and Services tax for Singaporeans returning from abroad are rather generous. For travellers who are out of the country for more than 48 hours, the exemption limit is $400 for adults and $200 for children below 18 years old. For travel less than 48 hours, the limit is $200 for adults and $100 for children. This has resulted in a significant leakage of retail business to neighbouring countries, as Singaporean day-trippers shop abroad. The CSC recommended tightening the exemption limits in order to help the domestic retail trade, which is facing a protracted downturn. The Government accepts this recommendation. The new limits will be as follows: For travellers away for more than 48 hours, $300 for adults and $100 for children; For travellers away between 24 and 48 hours, $150 for adults and $50 for children; For travellers away for less than 24 hours, $50 for adults with no exemption for children. These will take effect tomorrow, 25th November 1998. You can have a final fling tonight. Foreign Worker Levy Many companies depend heavily on foreign workers, especially manufacturing companies. While the Government uses the Foreign Worker Levy (FWL) to regulate demand for foreign workers, to the companies the FWL is a significant cost burden. The reduction in CPF contributions for citizens allows us to reduce the foreign worker levy while maintaining the relative wage costs between Singaporean and foreign workers, and therefore without creating an incentive for companies to employ foreign workers and displace Singaporean workers. The Government will reduce the foreign worker levy for both skilled and unskilled foreign workers. a. The levy for skilled workers in all sectors will be reduced from $100 to $30 across the board. This is the second round of reductions this year, as we had reduced the levy for skilled workers in April from $200 to $100. b. The levy for unskilled foreign workers will be reduced by $90 for companies in the manufacturing, marine and services sectors. These sectors are more prone to competition, regionally and internationally. c. The levy for unskilled construction workers will remain unchanged, as we need to continue to upgrade the construction industry to use more skilled labour and improve productivity. The levy for domestic maids will also remain unchanged, as it is not a cost burden on businesses, and working mothers are already allowed to claim double tax deduction on the cost of the maid levy from their income tax assessments. I know this will disappoint many MPs including Mr Chiam who asked for it, but then he asked for everything. So I have asked my colleague, Dr Lee Boon Yang, to give him a fuller and, I hope, a more satisfying explanation tomorrow. The reductions will take effect from 1st January 1999. They will yield cost savings of about $204 million per year. Foreign Talent I can understand that at such difficult times, some Singaporeans feel that we should do the opposite, ie. raise the foreign worker levy and exclude foreign workers, in an attempt to preserve jobs for Singaporeans. But this would be counter-productive. Compelling companies to recruit Singaporeans at higher cost than foreign workers or professionals can only work in the short term. But in the longer-term the companies may relocate elsewhere, or simply close down if this makes them not viable. The best way to preserve jobs for Singaporeans is to allow firms the flexibility to employ some foreign workers, and at the same time to upgrade and retrain Singaporean workers to make them productive and employable. For the longer term, it is vital for us to continue attracting talent, because international competition will be based on the knowledge, expertise, creativity and entrepreneurship of our people. The Government has formed a multi-Ministry committee, called the Singapore Talent and Recruitment (STAR) Committee, with BG George Yeo as Chairman and Dr Lee Boon Yang as Deputy Chairman, to oversee this strategic effort. Its mandate covers all aspects of international talent attraction and retention, in order to make Singapore a hub for international talent, while retaining our social cohesiveness and national resilience. Industrial Land Our high land cost is conspicuous to investors and is a major handicap in investment promotion. The industrial property market has softened considerably. It has fallen by about 30% since last year. And recent URA tenders of industrial land have confirmed this. JTC Therefore, Jurong Town Corporation (JTC) will reduce its posted land rentals to reflect current market conditions. Posted rentals for industrial land will come down by an average of 24% for outlying areas and 40% for urban and suburban areas, depending on locations. Rentals for flatted and standard factories will come down by 20 - 30%. The lower rates will take effect on 1st January 1999. These will be permanent reductions, and not temporary rebates. The revised posted rents will form a lower base for subsequent rental adjustments. In addition, for lessees paying rentals at posted rates, there will be no rental escalation for two years, in 1999 and 2000. Thereafter, their rentals will be subject to a maximum annual increase of 5.5%, reduced from the present cap of 7.6%. This does not mean that JTC will automatically raise rents by 5.5% every year. The actual adjustment will vary from year to year, depending on business conditions. Nevertheless, for lessees who prefer certainty, JTC will offer the alternative of a fixed rate of increase of 4% per annum throughout the lease duration, regardless of market conditions. Existing JTC lessees and tenants who are paying rentals above the revised rate will have their contractual rent reduced to the revised rates. Those paying below the revised posted rates will continue to enjoy their current rebates up to end-1999. JTC's rental reductions are estimated to yield savings in business costs of $230 million. HDB HDB will make similar adjustments. HDB will reduce rentals for industrial land lessees, and rents of commercial and industrial tenancies which exceed the new posted rates, through contractual rent revision or rent rebates. For commercial and industrial tenants paying above posted rates, the rebates will be subject to an overall rebate cap of 20%. For land lessees and tenants of industrial factories, workshops and commercial properties who are paying below the new posted rates, HDB will continue their existing rebates until December 1999. HDB's reductions will contribute savings of $76 million. Transport and Communications Transport and communications are a vital sector of our economy, and form an important component of business costs. We will reduce a broad range of costs in this sector, spanning air, land and sea transport as well as telecommunications, in support of the efforts to bring down overall business costs. The reductions will amount to $790 million. Land Transport The Government's measures to restrain ownership of vehicles have been effective in controlling congestion. But ownership measures have been a blunt instrument, which cannot distinguish between those who add to congestion and those that do not. The high ownership charges that are necessary have added to business costs. With Electronic Road Pricing (ERP), we are able to shift emphasis from ownership to usage management measures. And this should enable us to achieve the same effect in terms of controlling congestion, but using lower taxes and charges. Therefore the Government will not be slowing down the implementation of the ERP system, or giving any rebates on ERP charges. It will press on to expand the ERP system to better manage traffic flow. This will allow us to reduce ownership charges and thus the overall cost of operating vehicles. However, reduction of ownership charges, especially upfront costs such as the customs duty and ARF, cannot be done too suddenly, as this would affect the asset value of existing vehicles. For now, the Government will reduce the customs duty on cars from 41% of OMV to 31% of OMV. The customs duty for new taxis will similarly be reduced from 17% to 7% OMV. This will take effect tomorrow, 25th November 1998. For the first phase of ERP, the Government gave a rebate on road tax of $200 per PCU. For the second year, the Government plans to grant a larger road tax rebate of $250 per PCU. This will take effect from 1st September 1999, in tandem with the expansion of the Electronic Road Pricing system under Phase 2. Excise duties on petrol and diesel are revenue items, but they are also a traffic management tool, albeit a blunt one, that helps to discourage excessive use of cars and to promote greater use of public transport. Excise duty on high-speed diesel is 7.4 cents per litre. Petrol excise duty is currently 46% of pump price, subject to floor rates which vary for the different grades of petrol. With the ERP, we will completely remove the excise duty on high-speed diesel. We will also reduce petrol excise duties rate from 46% to 40%, and cut the floor rates by 7 cents per litre. Since at present petrol prices at the floor rates are effective for most grades of petrol, the overall result is to reduce pump prices by at least 7 cents per litre. This will take effect from tomorrow, 25th November 1998. The Government expects the oil companies to pass on the savings arising from the reduction of excise duty fully and promptly to motorists. These reductions in land transport costs should yield savings of $320 million per year. Sea and Air Transport The Maritime and Port Authority will extend a 20% port dues concession for container ships, and give a similar concession for harbour craft, with effect from 1st January 1999. PSA, now a corporatised entity, has also agreed to give a one time 10% rebate on lift-on/lift-off charges, local container store rents, Keppel Distripark rents, office properties rents, commercial warehouses rents, wharf handling and local store rents at the Multi-Purpose Terminal, all with effect from 1st January 1999. These are estimated to yield business savings of $32 million per year. The Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS) will be giving a 10% rebate on landing fees for airlines with effect from 1st January 1999. It will also extend rebates currently enjoyed by airport retailers for another 12 months beyond June 1999. These are estimated to yield business savings of some $57 million per year. Telecommunications Telecommunications form a significant component of business costs, especially for information-intensive activities like finance and banking. Telecommunication tariffs have been falling steadily in Singapore, as in many other countries, as a result of rapid technological advances, more liberal regulation and greater competition. However, there is still scope for them to decline further. TAS will reduce the licence fee for mobile radio-communications stations with effect from 1st January 1999. This will mean business savings of $2 million. Singapore Telecom has informed the Government that it will be implementing a tariff reduction package of $340 million, starting 1st January 1999. This comprises two components: first, rate reductions amounting to $90 million under the price control framework administered by TAS. Second, additional rate reductions, new calling plans, volume discounts and other schemes amounting to $250 million. These are part of SingTel's continued improvements in its tariff scheme in view of intensifying competition. SingTel is a publicly-listed for-profit entity. It is making these changes in order to respond to the current economic conditions and impending competition, and to contribute to Singapore's overall competitiveness which will in turn benefit SingTel's business. Utilities - Electricity The regional currency realignments have made our electricity tariffs less competitive. The June off-budget package included a rebate of 0.3 cts/kWh or a 2.6% reduction in the average electricity tariff. With effect from 1st January 1999, Singapore Power will increase the rebate on electricity tariffs from 0.3 cts/kWh to an average of 1.3 cts/kWh, for a period of two years. However, part of this rebate will be used to compensate the higher fuel costs incurred by Singapore Power, so the net rebate to consumers will average 0.9 cts/kWh, or a reduction of 7.7% in electricity tariffs. The net rebate will vary somewhat between different consumers, because PowerGrid will be unbundling the charges for the use of the electricity grid, to reflect actual costs incurred by the different categories - Extra High Tension, High Tension, and Low Tension. Singapore Power will announce the details later. Government will also remove the 2% Government tax levied on household utilities bills with effect from 1st January 1999. The electricity tariff rebate and the removal of the Government tax will yield cost savings of $372 million per year. Other rates and fees The Government levies a multitude of rates and fees. We will not freeze or reduce them across the board. Each of these levies has its own rationale and purpose. To freeze all of them regardless of their merits will hinder the Government from making adjustments that become necessary from time to time. It will create rigidities and distortions which will impair the efficiency of our public services. Nevertheless, the Government will review critically all its rates and fees, and lower those where there is justification. It has identified $8 million of other fees and charges to be reduced in this package. These include rental concessions by various ministries to tenants, generally in the form of 10% rebates for one year. One of these is the concession to hawkers paying market rents. Environment will extend the current one year rental rebate given to these hawkers in July 1998 for a further six months to December 1999. If despite this rebate their rental still exceeds the January 1999 market rates, Environment will give them an additional rebate of up to 10% for 12 months from January 1999. In effect, many hawkers paying market rents will get up to 20% off what they were paying before July 1998. Other short-term measures At the same time as we cut costs, we must also encourage businesses to expand. The economic agencies will work with companies to support their promotion and marketing efforts. To spur more investments in both manufacturing and services, the Government will reintroduce the Liberalised Investment Allowance Scheme, which it used in the 1985 recession. Investment allowance of 30% will be liberally granted for investments in productive equipment used for qualifying activities. These activities include manufacturing, engineering and computer related services, as well as a wide range of other specified services. For investments which meet more stringent requirements like contribution to value added, a higher allowance of 50% will be considered. Rebates for individuals and households The reductions in CPF and bonuses will cause a drop in the standard of living that Singaporeans have become used to. This cannot be avoided, because it is through this sacrifice that we will reduce our costs and strengthen our competitiveness. This will be painful to Singaporeans, as we have grown accustomed to many years of steady growth and wage increases. But because inflation is zero and even negative, actual standards of living have fallen by less than earnings. Retrenchments and unemployment have risen, but jobs are still available, provided workers are willing to be flexible. Flights out of Singapore over the Deepavali long weekend and during the December school holidays were and are fully booked. Many Singaporeans are still going overseas for holidays, maybe bringing their maids along, though perhaps to nearer destinations. Of course, not everybody goes on overseas holidays. MPs have all noticed an increase in cases at their meet-the-people sessions of people asking for help to find a new job, or wanting to change their HDB booking to a smaller flat type. The Government can and will assist lower income Singaporeans, to help them avoid undue hardship as a result of the package. For this purpose, it will take the following measures. GST Offsets To further assist lower income groups, we will extend the package of rebates for HDB rentals and town council service and conservancy charges, introduced in 1994, to offset the impact of GST. These rebates were transitional measures meant to help 1-, 2-, and 3-room HDB households, and were due to expire by March 1999. The Government will now extend them for a further two years. This will cost the Government $22 million per year. Utilities In 1997 and 1998, the Government gave a set of utilities and service and conservancy rebates to HDB 1-4 room households to offset the increase in electricity and water tariffs. The utilities rebates are $100 for 1-, 2-, and 3-room HDB flats and $50 for 4-room HDB flats. There are also monthly grants in service and conservancy charges to these 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-room HDB flats. The Government will now extend these rebates for a further two years. This will cost $72 million per year. Public transport One area of public concern is the cost of basic necessities, especially public transport fees and hospital charges. Grassroots and union leaders have fed back to the Government the hope that transport companies and hospitals will pass on to the public their savings from the wage cuts, since wage costs form a substantial part of the business costs for both. These are reasonable requests. The Government has discussed this with the public transport companies. They have agreed to pass on their savings to commuters. With effect from 1st January 1999, a 50 cents fare rebate will be given and added for every $10 topped up into farecards. Concession card holders will be given a 5% discount on the value of their monthly concession stamps. The concession will be for 12 months. The total cost to SBS, TIBS and SMRT will be $40 million over a year. Transitlink will announce the details in a few days. Hospital charges Government and restructured hospitals will review their charges to pass on the cost reductions to Singaporeans. However, the actual reduction in hospital charges will depend on individual hospitals and the class of ward. Different classes of wards have different cost recovery targets. Some hospitals have been under-recovering their costs, particularly for class A and B1 patients. Our newer hospitals are in deficit. The hospitals will be working out the impact of the cost reduction measures on their own business costs. They will give emphasis to reducing charges for class B2 and C patients, who can expect on average reductions in hospital bills of 5-10%. The reductions will be implemented in January 1999. We already have an effective medical safety net in place with our system of different ward classes, plus Medisave and Medifund. Patients should choose the class of ward which they can afford. Those using Medisave should not have any difficulties, because we have deliberately not reduced the Medisave component of CPF contributions. Furthermore, the bill size in class C is already very low. Those who still cannot afford to pay their Class C bills can apply for help from Medifund. The Ministry of Health has advised Hospital Medifund Committees to be more sympathetic towards those who have been adversely affected by the economic downturn. General relief measures The Government will also implement general relief measures for Singaporeans, such as personal tax rebates, rebates on service and conservancy charges and rentals for HDB dwellers. However, I shall not announce these today. These are being worked out as part of the Budget proposals for the next Financial Year. They will be tabled in the Budget Speech next February. Conclusion Companies Must Also Cut Non-Wage Costs Mr Speaker, Sir, can I ask the Clerk to distribute a table (Cols. 1479 - 1482) of the total package of the cost-cutting measures which summarises the position and shows that the total package adds up to $10.5 billion over one year, more than what the CSC recommended? [Copies of table distributed to hon. Members.] This will substantially strengthen our competitiveness. It will help workers to keep their jobs, and companies to stay viable. table (Cols. 1479 - 1482) However, companies must not depend on cuts in wage costs and Government charges alone to solve their problems. Their managements should also take the initiative to look for savings from their non-wage costs. Most of these are internal to the companies. For example, they should study how they can use capital more efficiently, improve sales, streamline processes, or reduce inventories. However efficiently a company may think it is run, there is always room to do better. Companies which succeed in trimming their non-wage costs get to keep the savings. Every dollar saved this way is a dollar added to their bottom line, just as much as a dollar saved from paying lower CPF or smaller bonuses. This will give companies more scope either to increase their earnings and avoid making a loss, or to reduce prices and increase sales, especially exports. Balance of cost cuts Three quarters of this cost saving package - $7.5 billion worth - comprises wage costs, through the CPF reduction and the NWC recommendations to reduce wages. In the public discussion of the CSC Report and also here over the last two days, the question has often been asked whether wages are bearing too large a share of the burden, and whether the Government can do more. Some have even suggested that the Government match the reduction in wage costs dollar for dollar. This is not possible. To understand why, we need to examine the composition of our GDP. We can think of GDP as the sum of all the incomes generated for the domestic production of goods and services. You add up all the money earned from productive effort and that is our output for the year. If you use this "income approach" to GDP, then you can divide GDP into three components: (1) Wages (including salaries and CPF) which make up 43% of GDP. (2) Indirect taxes (e.g. GST, ARF of cars) making up 10%. (3) The remaining 47% of the GDP is gross operating surplus, ie. earnings of companies and statutory boards, including depreciation. So wages, 43%; indirect taxes 10%; and the balance, gross operating surplus, 47%. So any cost reduction package will have to come out of either wages, indirect taxes, or essentially company earnings (companies meaning, including statutory boards). The economic crisis is already squeezing company earnings. Our aim is to help companies improve their bottom lines. Getting companies to bear a large share of this cost reduction would defeat this objective. So most of the cost reduction must come from the other two components of GDP, ie, wage costs and Government levies. Since total wage costs are much larger than Government charges, wages must inevitably account for a large part of the total cost reduction package. Of course companies doing well may pass on their cost savings to consumers, or invest them in business expansion or worker training. This includes, of course, statutory boards and Government-linked companies, such as JTC and Singapore Telecom. However, statutory boards and GLCs cannot simply run a deficit in order to give money away. Santa Claus has not come to town. They must operate as efficiently as possible so as to keep costs to a minimum. They also have a responsibility to operate commercially, just like any other company. Even hospitals must run efficiently and break even, given the cost recovery targets for the different classes. Once we deviate from this cardinal principle, and our statutory boards and GLCs ignore their bottom lines to operate contrary to commercial and economic logic, they will lose discipline, and become bloated and inefficient. Service will deteriorate. Eventually they must either go bankrupt and close down, or else the Government must bail them out, and raise taxes to pay for their deficits . This is exactly what has happened in many other countries. The $3 billion reduction in Government taxes and charges in this package is substantial, especially coming on top of the $2 billion announced in June, which was completely borne by the Government and which, judging by the debate over these last two days, has been largely forgotten. We already expect a budget deficit of 1% of GDP this year. Ministry of Finance estimates the deficit to grow to 3% to 4% of GDP next year. This is a sharp contrast from our usual surplus budgets. We are in a position to run this temporary deficit, only because we have been prudently maintaining budget surpluses and building up our reserves for many years. MPs and others have suggested that we should dip more deeply into the reserves, in order to minimise the hardship to Singaporeans. Some have even calculated how just a few percent of our reserves would mean many billions of dollars to spend. My reservation is not with the arithmetic, but the psychology. It is like high-living heirs who cannot wait to divide up their wealthy grandfather's estate. If we did this, we would change from being a nation of savers accumulating wealth to a nation of spenders depleting it. Poh Say Teck ( ) wrote a piece in the Lianhe Zaobao today, and as he said, this would send out all the wrong signals. First, that our situation is so grave that we have no choice but to use the reserves, and second, that we have a low threshold of pain, and cannot bear austerity and hardship. It is an excellent piece. It shows he understands, and there are Singaporeans who understand, and I commend it to you. His title is Zhen yao dong yong lao ben ma? [ ], loosely translated: "Do we really want to eat our seed corn?" So I asked Dr Ow Chin Hock, what does lao ben mean? He says it is very difficult to translate. It really means the money you keep for your old age. Some people call it guan cai ben [ ]. It is something you keep for a last resort, not spend at the first opportunity. This crisis is far from over. We must husband our reserves, because we cannot tell what the future may bring. We must not spend them at the first sign of trouble, to generate a false sense of prosperity and well-being. If we did, the reserves would soon be gone. And the next time we run into rough weather, which will happen sooner or later, we would have no more safety net, no more rabbits to pull out of the hat. We must therefore get back to prudent, balanced budgets as soon as possible. Confidence Singaporeans are worried about what is happening. They have followed events in the countries around us, and seen how these have affected us. They know retrenchments are higher, bonuses are smaller, and prospects are highly uncertain. They want to know what we can do to help ourselves. But to judge by the recent TCS survey, they also know that we must cut business costs to stay competitive (83% thought so). They think that the Government has been effective in responding to the crisis (82% thought so), and they believe that Singapore will be the first country in Asia to recover (76% thought so). These are substantial majorities, almost enough to cause the Opposition to lose their deposits. We have reason for confidence. Since the crisis began last year, Singapore has shown that it is different from the other countries. Not only is our economy sounder, but the way Singaporeans have responded to this crisis has shown that we understand this problem, we know where our interests lie, and we are quietly working together to tackle this challenge. Few other countries are in a position to implement a package like this, or to persuade the workers to support such austerity measures as being in their own long term interests. Foreign investors and analysts have noted this, as have ratings agencies. Standard & Poor's has just reaffirmed Singapore's AAA rating. Fitch IBCA has rated us AA+, just one notch below AAA, and equal to their rating for Japan. As Fitch IBCA commented when they made this assessment: "Singapore stands head and shoulders above most of its East Asian neighbours. It has a well-diversified, open economy; a strong external financial position; and a sound, well-regulated financial system. Deep-rooted economic fundamentals, matched by sound economic policies have limited the fall of the Singapore dollar and should enhance Singapore's position as a leading regional financial centre, vis-a-vis Hong Kong and Japan." Outlook This package will help to make Singapore companies, and the economy as a whole, more competitive, to reduce retrenchments and unemployment, to attract new investments and business, and to lay the basis for long term prosperity. However, we cannot be certain that as a result of this package, the economy will recover quickly. That depends on developments in the region and the broader international economy that we can neither predict nor control. At present the prospects are that Indonesia will take an extended period to stabilise and recover, while the situation in Malaysia following their imposition of exchange controls and the dismissal of former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has not yet clarified. It is safest to assume that we will have at least one more year of difficult conditions. MTI has forecast growth of between -1% and +1% for 1999. With this package, we hope growth will be at the upper end of the range. This crisis is not just an economic challenge. It is a challenge to our social cohesion and national resilience. Tough times put our mettle to the test. The tougher the times, the more we must bond together, strengthened by our shared experience of adversity and struggle. Whatever happens externally over the next few years, we have the resources, and the resilience, to weather the storm. Let us maintain our cohesion and sense of common purpose, and then we will preserve our high international standing, and emerge stronger, more competitive, and set to thrive for many more years. [Applause.]